Boise State Broncos vs UNLV Rebels NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Boise State Broncos vs UNLV Prediction 10/25/2024

The Boise State Broncos (5-1) face off against the UNLV Rebels (6-1) on Friday, October 25th. This game will be played at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas and televised on CBSS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 10:30 ET.

Boise State Broncos vs UNLV Rebels

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Boise State Offense Breakdown

Boise State’s offense has been dominant on the ground, averaging 292.3 rushing yards per game, ranking 4th nationally. Ashton Jeanty has been the standout performer, amassing 1,248 rushing yards and 17 touchdowns, with an impressive 9 yards per carry. The Broncos are 3rd in scoring, putting up 46.8 points per game, and they are 4th in third-down conversions, converting 54.4% of their attempts. They are also ranked 7th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 9.

Quarterback Maddux Madsen has thrown for 1,273 yards, with 12 touchdowns and just two interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 108. Boise State is 86th in passing yards per game, averaging 233.2 yards. Cameron Camper leads the receiving corps with 441 yards and four touchdowns on 25 catches.

UNLV Offense Breakdown

UNLV’s offense has been one of the most productive in the nation, ranking 5th in scoring with 43.6 points per game. They are also 3rd in rushing, averaging 252.6 yards per game on the ground. Our power rankings place them as the 27th best offense heading into week 9.

Quarterback Hajj-Malik Williams has thrown for 838 yards and has a passer rating of 128. Ricky White III leads the receiving corps with 614 yards and nine touchdowns.

Boise State Team Defense

Boise State’s defense had a strong performance in their recent game against Hawaii, allowing just 7 points. They gave up 300 total yards, including 104 rushing yards on 22 attempts and 196 passing yards, while also forcing an interception.

On the season, Boise State ranks 25th nationally in rushing defense, allowing 105.8 yards per game. However, they have struggled against the pass, ranking 155th by giving up 276.3 passing yards per game.

Boise State Team Defense

UNLV’s defense has been solid this season, ranking 21st in the nation by allowing just 104.4 rushing yards per game. In their recent game against Oregon State, they gave up 137 rushing yards on 37 attempts but held the Beavers to 0 passing touchdowns. Oregon State threw the ball 37 times, completing 21 passes for 231 yards.

Opponents have averaged a 68.8 passer rating against UNLV, completing 59% of their passes. On average, UNLV’s defense has faced 42.9 pass attempts per game, giving up 278.7 passing yards. They rank 43rd nationally, allowing 22.6 points per game.

Boise State vs UNLV Trends

  • Across the Boise State Broncos last ten road games, the team averaged 35 points per game while allowing 30. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 3-5-2, while going 5-5 straight-up.
  • UNLV has played well in their previous five home games, going 5-0 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 32 points per game while allowing 22. The team also performed well vs the spread at 4-1.
  • Through their last five games as the underdog, the UNLV Rebels have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 3-2.
  • Against the spread, the Boise State Broncos have put together of 2-2-1 in their last five games as the betting favorite. In these same games, they went 5-0 straight up.

Broncos vs Rebels Prediction

With the over/under line set at 65.5 points, our projection of 71 total points suggests that taking the over is the best play for this Boise State vs. UNLV matchup. We have Boise State coming out on top by a score of 36-35.

UNLV is the home underdog at +3, but we expect them to cover the spread in a game that should be high-scoring and close throughout.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.