BYU Cougars vs Baylor Bears NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF BYU Cougars vs Baylor Bears Prediction 9/28/2024

The BYU Cougars (4-0) face off against the Baylor Bears (2-2) on Saturday, September 28th. This game will be played at McLane Stadium in Waco and televised on FS1. BYU is coming off a win in their previous game, while Baylor is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Colorado. Kickoff is set for 12:00 ET.

BYU Cougars vs Baylor Bears

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BYU Offense Breakdown

BYU’s offense, led by quarterback Jake Retzlaff, put up 319 yards in their 38-9 win over Kansas State. Retzlaff completed 15 of 21 passes for 149 yards and two touchdowns, ending the game with a passer rating of 122.92. Chase Roberts was the top receiver, with two catches for 47 yards.

The Cougars’ ground game was effective, with 170 yards and two rushing touchdowns. Sione Moa led the team in rushing, gaining 76 yards on 15 carries.

Baylor Offense Breakdown

In Baylor’s 38-31 road defeat to Colorado, their offense totaled 314 yards, with 166 yards coming on the ground. Sawyer Robertson led the team in rushing with 82 yards on nine carries, including a rushing touchdown. Robertson also handled the quarterback duties, completing 11 of 21 passes for 148 yards and two touchdowns. His passer rating for the game was 106.85.

The Bears’ offense picked up 15 first downs, and Robertson’s top target was Hal Presley, who caught two passes for 43 yards and a touchdown.

BYU Team Defense

BYU’s defense was effective in their most recent game, holding Kansas State to just 9 points and 367 total yards. The Cougars’ defense picked off two passes and limited the Wildcats to 139 passing yards on 16 completions. However, BYU did struggle to stop the run, giving up 228 yards on the ground. Kansas State ran the ball 43 times against the Cougars.

BYU Team Defense

After giving up 341 passing yards and 433 total yards in their most recent game, Baylor’s defense will be looking for a better performance. The Bears allowed 24 first downs and three rushing touchdowns, but they did manage to limit Colorado’s rushing attack to just 92 yards.

BYU vs Baylor Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the BYU Cougars have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 6-4 vs. the spread. The team averaged 24 points per game in this stretch.
  • Through their last five home games, Baylor has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 1-4 while averaging 23 points per game.
  • Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the BYU Cougars have gone 4-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-3.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Baylor Bears have a straight up record of 3-2, while going 2-3 against the spread.

Cougars vs Bears Prediction

BYU comes into this matchup as the road underdog vs. Baylor, with the line set at +3.5 points in their favor. We are projecting BYU to win this game straight-up, with a final score of 25-19, making them a strong bet to cover the spread.

For the over/under, with the line at 45.5 points, our projection of 44 points suggests that taking the under is the best play here.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.