LSU Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF LSU Tigers vs Arkansas Prediction 10/19/2024

The LSU Tigers (5-1) face off against the Arkansas Razorbacks (4-2) on Saturday, October 19th. This game will be played at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium in Fayetteville and televised on ESPN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 7:00 ET.

LSU Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks

 

LSU Offense Breakdown

LSU’s offense is ranked 9th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 8. They are also 26th in scoring, averaging 34.2 points per game. The Tigers have relied heavily on their passing game, ranking 2nd in passing attempts and 5th in completions. They are 7th in passing yards, averaging 337.7 yards per game, and have converted 48.1% of their third-down attempts.

Garrett Nussmeier leads the Tigers with 1,993 passing yards and 18 touchdowns, though he has thrown six interceptions and has a passer rating of 102. LSU ranks 101st in rushing, averaging 123 yards per game. Caden Durham leads the ground attack with 281 yards. Kyren Lacy has 463 receiving yards and six touchdowns this season.

Arkansas Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 8, Arkansas is averaging 33 points per game, placing them 30th nationally. They are 35th in our offensive power rankings. Their rushing game is a strength, with 201.5 yards per game on 40.3 attempts. Ja’Quinden Jackson leads the team with 566 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry.

Quarterback Taylen Green has thrown for 1,502 yards, but he has five touchdowns and five interceptions, resulting in a passer rating of 80. Arkansas ranks 24th in passing yards per game. They are 8th in third-down conversions, converting 52.8% of their attempts. Andrew Armstrong has 552 receiving yards on 38 catches but has yet to score a touchdown.

LSU Team Defense

LSU’s defense has allowed an average of 22.3 points per game this season, ranking 38th nationally. In their recent game against Ole Miss, they gave up 26 points but managed to secure a 29-26 overtime win. The Tigers allowed 465 total yards, including 284 passing yards, while also forcing one interception.

Opponents have averaged 244 passing yards per game against LSU, completing 64.6% of their throws. On the ground, LSU’s defense has allowed 133.8 rushing yards per game, facing an average of 32.3 rushing attempts per contest.

LSU Team Defense

Arkansas’ defense has been solid this season, ranking 24th nationally by allowing just 19.2 points per game. They’ve given up 215 passing yards per game, with quarterbacks completing 56.9% of their throws. Against Tennessee, Arkansas allowed 14 points and 312 total yards, including 169 passing yards, while forcing one interception.

Opponents have averaged 107 rushing yards per game against Arkansas, with Tennessee rushing 43 times for 143 yards. This season, Arkansas ranks 30th in the nation against the run, facing an average of 30.3 rushing attempts per game, which is the 21st fewest in the country.

LSU vs Arkansas Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the LSU Tigers have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 3-7 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 36 points per game in these contests.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Arkansas Razorbacks have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 9-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 30 points per game in these contests.
  • Arkansas has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS in their last three games.
  • Through their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the LSU Tigers have a good straight up record, but their ATS mark is just 1-4.

Tigers vs Razorbacks Prediction

Arkansas is the slight +2.5 point underdog at home in their week eight matchup against LSU. We have them not only covering the spread but also winning the game, with a projected final score of 31-25 in favor of the Razorbacks.

With the over/under line set at 54.5 points, our projection of 56 total points suggests taking the over as the best play.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.