navy vs army ncaaf prediction
PublishedDecember 4, 2023,            Posted By: Maria Uebelhor
Last updated:December 4, 2023 , ,

NCAAF: Navy vs. Army Prediction 12/9/2023

The Navy Midshipmen (5-6) travel to face off against the Army Black Knights (5-6) on Saturday, December 9th. This game will be played at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough and televised on CBS. Army is coming off a win in their previous game, while Navy is looking to get back on track from a loss to the SMU. Kickoff is set for 3:00 ET.

Navy Midshipmen vs Army Black Knights

The Navy Midshipmen Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

After trailing by -17 at halftime, Navy could not make a comeback and lost their most recent game 59-14 to SMU. Quarterback Braxton Woodson didn’t register a passing touchdown in the team’s loss against SMU, but he did contribute one touchdown on the ground. His overall performance featured a completion percentage of 50.0% and 71 passing yards.

Navy and SMU combined for 73 points in the game, which was enough to surpass the over/under line of 46.5 points. In addition to losing straight-up, Navy did not cover the spread as 20-point underdogs.

So far, the Navy Midshipmen are 5-6, including going 1-4 on the road and 3-2 at home.

Against the spread, Navy has gone 4-5-1 this season. The Midshipmen have been favored five times compared to five games as the underdog. So far in this season, Navy has posted an over/under record of 4-6. On average, their matchups have yielded a combined score of 41.2 points, with the typical over/under line set at 46.5 points.

The Army Black Knights Are Coming Off A Win

Army is coming off a 28-21 win over Coastal Carolina and were able to hold on despite Coastal Carolina cutting into their 28-14 lead going into the 4th quarter. In the team’s win, quarterback Bryson Daily didn’t record a passing touchdown against Coastal Carolina, but he did contribute one touchdown on the ground. His overall performance featured a completion rate of 0.0% and 0 passing yards.

Going into the game, Army was the underdog at +1.5, giving them both a straight-up and ATS win. The over hit in this matchup as the line was 40.5 pre-game.

This season, the Army Black Knights are currently 5-6. So far this season, they have played five road games and five at home.

Against the spread, Army has gone 5-5 this season. The Black Knights have been favored four times compared to six games as the underdog. Across 11 games, the average over/under line in Army’s matchups is 45.4 points. These games have seen an average combined score of 42.8 points, resulting in an OU record of 5-5.

Navy Offense Breakdown

In the rushing game, the Midshipmen are currently 14th in college football with 505 attempts per game. This has resulted in an average of 201.7 rushing yards per game, putting them 38th nationally. Their passing game has averaged 15.4 passes and 99 yards per game. When it comes to scoring, they are 101st, averaging 18.3 points per game.

Tai Lavatai is the team’s leading passer, with 522 passing yards under his belt and a completion rate of 53.3%. Currently, he’s averaging 7 yards per pass attempt.

Army Offense Breakdown

In the rushing game, the Black Knights are currently 7th in college football with 521 attempts per game. This has resulted in an average of 210.2 rushing yards per game, putting them 23rd nationally. Their passing game has averaged 13.6 passes and 107.3 yards per game. When it comes to scoring, they are 95th, averaging 20.8 points per game.

Quarterback Bryson Daily leads the team with 859 passing yards while completing 50% of his passes. So far, he is averaging 8.1 yards per passing attempt.

Navy Team Defense

Coming into their matchup vs. Army, the Navy defense is 72nd in points allowed, giving up 22.9 points per game. So far, opponents have averaged 240.4 passing yards per game against them (123rd in the country). Against the run, they’re allowing 124.4 rushing yards, which ranks them 44th in college football.

Army Team Defense

On defense, Army comes into the game ranked 169th in passing yards per game. Opponents are throwing the ball an average of 25.5 times per contest vs. the Black Knights. Overall, they are giving up 22 points per game, which is 68th in college football. Against the run, they are 142nd in the NCAA in rushing yards allowed.

Navy vs Army Trends

  • Navy’s five most recent games vs. the spread has seen them go 2-3 against the spread.
  • Looking across Army’s five most recent home games, they are 3-2 against the spread.
  • Army is 2-1 in their last three games as underdogs.
  • Navy’s record vs. the spread in their five most recent games as the favorite is 2-3.

Navy vs Army Prediction

Army has been dealing with turnovers in their passing game so far this year. My point spread pick is to take Navy to cover the spread at +2.

With the over/under line at 28, I’m backing the over for this game. Army games have produced an average combined score of 42.8 points, and I expect this game to go over 28.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.