Arkansas vs Texas Tech Liberty Bowl

NCAAF Texas Tech vs Arkansas Prediction Zone Liberty Bowl

The Texas Tech Red Raiders (8-4) face off against the Arkansas Razorbacks (6-6) on Friday, December 27th. This game will be played at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium in Memphis and televised on ESPN. Texas Tech is coming off a win in their previous game, while Arkansas is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Missouri. Kickoff is set for 7:00 ET.

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Arkansas Razorbacks

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Texas Tech Offense Breakdown

Texas Tech’s offense ranks 5th in scoring, averaging 38.6 points per game, and they are 9th in third-down conversions, converting 49% of their attempts. Quarterback Behren Morton has thrown for 3,300 yards with 27 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 96.

The Red Raiders are 3rd in passing attempts per game, averaging 41.8, and 5th in completions, with 26.3 per game. They rank 12th in passing yards, averaging 298.3 yards per game. Tahj Brooks leads the rushing attack with 1,505 yards and 17 touchdowns.

Arkansas Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 1, Arkansas ranks 39th in points per game, averaging 30.2, and they are 43rd in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is the strength of the offense, averaging 269.1 yards per game, which ranks 24th nationally. They are 41st in passing attempts per game, with 32.7, and 39th in completions, averaging 20.3 per game. They have converted 43% of their third-down attempts.

Quarterback Taylen Green has thrown for 2,812 yards, with a 60.8% completion rate, 13 touchdowns, and 9 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 86. Ja’Quinden Jackson leads the rushing attack with 790 yards and 15 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Andrew Armstrong has 1,140 receiving yards on 78 catches but has only one touchdown.

Texas Tech Team Defense

Texas Tech’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 34.5 points per game, ranking 92nd nationally. Opponents have averaged 306.2 passing yards per game against them, completing 63.7% of their passes.

In their recent game against West Virginia, Texas Tech’s defense gave up 15 points but allowed 423 total yards, including 265 passing yards. They also forced two interceptions in the game.

Texas Tech Team Defense

Arkansas’s defense has allowed an average of 24.9 points per game this season, ranking 47th nationally. In their recent game against Missouri, they gave up 28 points, allowing 361 total yards, including 193 rushing yards and 168 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 124 rushing yards per game against Arkansas, while quarterbacks have posted a 91.5 passer rating, completing 61.4% of their throws for an average of 244.2 passing yards per game, which ranks Arkansas 133rd in the nation.

Texas Tech vs Arkansas Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Texas Tech has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 31 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
  • Across their ten previous home games, Arkansas has an ATS mark of 8-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 3-7 while averaging 28 points per game.
  • Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Texas Tech Red Raiders have gone 3-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-3.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Arkansas Razorbacks have gone 3-7 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 7-3.

Red Raiders vs Razorbacks Prediction

With the over/under line set at 60.5 points, we recommend taking the over, as our projections have these teams combining for 67 points. Texas Tech is the +2.5 point underdog on the road, but we have them winning this matchup 34-33, making them a strong pick to cover the spread.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.