UL Monroe vs Ole Miss ncaaf betting

NCAAF: UL Monroe vs. Ole Miss Prediction 11/18/2023

The UL Monroe Warhawks (2-8) travel to face off against the Ole Miss Rebels (8-2) on Saturday, November 18th. This game will be played at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in Oxford and televised on SECN. Both UL Monroe and Ole Miss will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 ET.

UL Monroe Warhawks vs Ole Miss Rebels

The UL Monroe Warhawks Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

UL Monroe will be looking to rebound from a 45-14 loss to Troy in their most recent game. The Warhawks fell behind early, trailing by -7 after the first quarter. Against Troy, Jiya Wright threw for 243 yards on a completion percentage of 55.6%. In the loss, he threw two touchdowns and had a passer rating of 95.02.

Looking at the over/under in this matchup, the line was 46 and with their 59 points, the over hit. Against the spread, UL Monroe went into the game as 21.5-point underdogs giving them an ATS and straight-up loss.

This season, the UL Monroe Warhawks are currently 2-8. So far this season, they have played four road games and five at home.

When looking at UL Monroe’s betting lines on the spread, they have been the underdog in all of their games and have an ATS mark of 4-5. So far this season, the average over/under line for UL Monroe’s games has been 53.8 points. The Warhawks have an over/under record of 5-4 heading into this week’s game.

The Ole Miss Rebels Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Rebels’ most recent game came against Georgia, leading to a 52-17 loss. Ole Miss trailed by -7 at the half vs. the Bulldogs. In the loss against Georgia, Jaxson Dart threw for 112 yards on 10 of 17 passing. His overall passer rating was 54.04 and he did not throw or rush for a touchdown.

Ole Miss and Georgia combined for 69 points in the game, which was enough to surpass the over/under line of 58.5 points. In addition to losing straight-up, Ole Miss did not cover the spread as 11.5-point underdogs.

The Ole Miss Rebels take on the UL Monroe with a 8-2 record, including 2-2 on the road and 5-0 at home.

Against the spread, Ole Miss has gone 5-3-1 this season. The Rebels have been favored six times compared to three games as the underdog. The average point total in Ole Miss’ 10 games is currently 62.4 points per game. This has led to an over/under record of 4-5 for the Rebels.

UL Monroe Offense Breakdown

On offense, the Warhawks come in with the 59th ranked offense in terms of passing attempts and are averaging 194.6 passing yards per game. In the running game, they are 68th in terms of attempts.

Jiya Wright leads the team in passing, accumulating 1125 passing yards. Additionally, he’s showcased his versatility by ranking 3rd in rushing yards for the team. This season, he’s rushed 81 times for 229 yards, and has a passing completion percentage of 53.4%.

Ole Miss Offense Breakdown

Heading into their matchup vs. UL Monroe, the Rebels’ offense is averaging 181.3 rushing yards per game, along with 4 yards per attempt. They currently hold the 38th rank in rushing yards and 23rd rank in passing yards, amassing an average of 285.2 yards per game. In terms of scoring, Ole Miss is at 36.6 points per game, which is 17th in the NCAA.

With 2579 passing yards and a completion percentage of 64.9%, quarterback Jaxson Dart leads the team in passing. His average yards per pass attempt stands at 9.8.

UL Monroe Team Defense

Coming into this week’s game, the UL Monroe defense is 131st in points allowed at 33.2 points per game. So far, team’s have averaged 268.2 passing yards per game vs. the unit (157th). On the ground, they are giving up 172 rushing yards, putting them 124th in college football.

Ole Miss Team Defense

Ole Miss’ defense is ranked 90th in passing yards allowed per game as they prepare for this matchup. Opponents have attempted an average of 31.3 passing attempts against the Rebels. They have given up 25.8 points per game so far, placing them 94th in college football. In the NCAA’s rush defense category, they are 96th.

UL Monroe vs Ole Miss Trends

  • Looking at UL Monroe’s ten most recent road games, they have put together a record vs. the spread of 4-6.
  • At home, Ole Miss has gone 1-2 against the spread (last three).
  • Ole Miss’ ATS record in their ten most recent games as the underdog is 5-5.
  • UL Monroe is 2-7-1 in their last ten games as the favorite.

UL Monroe vs Ole Miss Prediction

Ole Miss has struggled with turnovers in their passing game lately. As the away underdogs, I’m leaning towards UL Monroe to cover the spread at +37.

The analysis we’ve been running for this game has UL Monroe and Ole Miss finishing with a combined 62 points. With the over/under line sitting at 62.5, I’m getting a bet down on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


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