Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons NFL Betting Prediction

NFL Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction 10/3/2024

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will face off against the Atlanta Falcons at 8:15 ET on Thursday, October 3rd. This matchup is being played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta.

The Falcons are favored at -124 on the money line as they host the Buccaneers at 8:15 ET on Thursday, October 3rd. The Falcons are -1.5 point favorites, and the over/under line is set at 43.5 points. This week five matchup is being televised by AMZN, and the Falcons and Buccaneers are looking to add to their records in this NFC South matchup.

  • Date: Thursday, October 3rd
  • Time: 8:15 ET
  • Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
  • TV: AMZN

Buccaneers vs Falcons

tampa bay buccaneers nfl

The Buccaneers are now 3-1 after their 33-16 win over the Eagles. Tampa Bay took a 14-0 lead after the first quarter and extended it to 24-7 by halftime. Despite falling behind early, the Eagles made it 24-16 in the 3rd quarter, but the Buccaneers pulled away in the 4th quarter.

Heading into the game, the Buccaneers were actually 1-point underdogs, making their straight-up and ATS win even more impressive. The combined 49 points exceeded the O/U line of 42 points.

Despite being favored by -2.5, the Falcons pulled out a 26-24 win over the Saints, moving their record to 2-2. Atlanta’s 58-yard field goal from Younghoe Koo with seven seconds left sealed the victory. The combined 50 points went over the total line of 42.5 points.

Atlanta’s win came after the Saints took a 24-23 lead with just 29 seconds left in the 4th quarter. The Falcons initially led 20-14 heading into the 4th quarter after a 26-yard touchdown from Kirk Cousins to Bijan Robinson in the 2nd quarter. The Falcons added a field goal in the 4th quarter to secure the win. This was a crucial win for the Falcons, as they are now at .500 on the season.

Buccaneers Injury Report

  • Kameron Johnson – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Graham Barton – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Jalen McMillan – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Silas Dzansi – Knee (Out)
  • Evan Deckers – Hamstring (Out)
  • Ko Kieft – Ankle (Questionable)
  • SirVocea Dennis – Shoulder (Out)
  • Calijah Kancey – Calf (Questionable)
  • Trey Palmer – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Logan Hall – Foot (Questionable)
  • Luke Goedeke – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Earnest Brown – Ribs (Out)
  • Rakim Jarrett – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Bryce Hall – Ankle (Out)
  • Tristan Wirfs – Knee (Questionable)
  • Antoine Winfield Jr. – Foot (Questionable)
  • Mike Evans – Knee/calf (Questionable)
  • William Gholston – Knee (Questionable)
  • Chase Edmonds – Knee (Out)
  • Vita Vea – Knee (Questionable)
  • Greg Gaines – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Sua Opeta – Knee (Out)

Falcons Injury Report

  • Bralen Trice – Knee (Out)
  • Nate Landman – Quad/calf (Out)
  • Troy Andersen – Knee (Questionable)
  • DeMarcco Hellams – Ankle (Out)
  • Drew Dalman – Ankle (Out)
  • Milo Eifler – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Bijan Robinson – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Rondale Moore – Knee (Out)
  • Harrison Hand – Knee (Out)
  • Kaleb McGary – Knee (Questionable)
  • Ray-Ray McCloud III – Ankle (Questionable)

Buccaneers Offense Breakdown

The Buccaneers’ offense put up 334 yards passing in their 33-16 win over the Eagles, with Baker Mayfield throwing for 347 yards and completing 63% of his passes. Tampa Bay had 29 first downs and 111 yards on the ground. Mayfield threw two touchdowns and finished with a passer rating of 100.

Mike Evans caught one of Mayfield’s touchdown passes and led the team with 94 yards receiving. Bucky Irving was the leading rusher with 49 yards on 10 carries, including one touchdown and a 15-yard run. The Buccaneers’ offense converted on 46.2% of their third down attempts and allowed two sacks.

Falcons Offense Breakdown

atlanta falcons

The Falcons’ offense managed just 14 first downs and 227 total yards through the air in their 26-24 win over the Saints. Atlanta struggled to run the ball, with only 88 yards on 15 attempts. Kirk Cousins, who threw for 238 yards and completed 60% of his passes, was the team’s leading passer. He didn’t throw any touchdowns but was intercepted once.

Drake London was Atlanta’s top receiver, finishing with 64 yards on six catches. Tyler Allgeier led the team in rushing with 60 yards, averaging 7.5 yards per attempt and with a long run of 15 yards.

Buccaneers Team Defense

In their most recent game, the Buccaneers’ defense gave up 113 rushing yards on 20 attempts but held the Eagles to just 114 passing yards in their 33-16 win. Tampa Bay’s defense was tough upfront, recording six sacks and limiting Philadelphia to just 227 total yards. The Eagles converted only 46.2% of their third down attempts.

The Buccaneers’ defense also came away with 4 more QB hits than the Eagles and had 3 tackles for loss. Despite giving up one passing touchdown, they held Philadelphia to a 60% completion rate.

Falcons Team Defense

Atlanta’s defense came up with a key interception in their 26-24 win over the Saints in their most recent game. The Falcons’ defense allowed 131 rushing yards on 33 attempts and 235 passing yards on 28 completions. They defended the pass well, not allowing any passing touchdowns from New Orleans.

Against the run, the Falcons gave up 4.0 yards per attempt. They also struggled to get off the field on third down, allowing the Saints to convert 53.8% of their third down attempts. Atlanta’s defense managed only one sack in the game.

Buccaneers vs Falcons Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Tampa Bay has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 17 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
  • Through their last ten home contests, the Falcons offense has averaged 15 points per game while allowing an average of 23. Atlanta posted an overall record of 3-7 while going 3-7 ATS.
  • Through their last five games as the underdog, the Buccaneers have an ATS record of 4-1 and a straight up mark of 4-1.
  • As the betting favorite, the Falcons have an ATS mark of just 2-8 in their last ten games. Atlanta posted a straight up mark of 3-7 in these matchups.

Buccaneers vs Falcons Prediction

Our pick against the spread in this week five matchup between the Buccaneers and Falcons is to take the Falcons to cover at home. Right now, the point spread lines have the Falcons at -1.5, and we have them winning 21-15. With this projected final score, we like the Falcons to cover as home favorites.

For an over/under pick, we are leaning towards taking the under, with a projected combined score of 36 points and the O/U line sitting at 43.5 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.