Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders NFL Betting Prediction

NFL Bears vs Washington Commanders Prediction 10/27/2024

The Chicago Bears will face off against the Washington Commanders at 4:25 ET on Sunday, October 27th. This matchup is being played at Northwest Stadium in Landover.

The Commanders are the underdog at +2.5 as they host the Bears at 4:25 ET on Sunday, October 27th at Northwest Stadium in Landover, MD. The Bears are favored with a money line of -148, and the over/under line is set at 43.5 points. CBS is handling the television coverage for this week eight NFC matchup, with the Commanders at +123 on the money line.

  • Date: Sunday, October 27th
  • Time: 4:25 ET
  • Location: Northwest Stadium, Landover
  • TV: CBS

Bears vs Commanders

chicago bears nfl

The Bears have won three straight games, bringing their record to 4-2. After two consecutive road losses in weeks 2 and 3, Chicago bounced back with three home wins, including a 35-16 victory over the Jaguars in week 6. They were 1.5-point underdogs in that game but covered the spread, as they did in their previous two games, giving them a 5-1 ATS record this season.

Heading into week 8, the Bears have a +7.8 scoring margin and rank 13th in our power rankings. We give them a 40% chance of making the playoffs and a 5.4% chance of winning the NFC North. Their O/U record is 3-3, with the over hitting in each of their last three games.

Washington’s 40-7 win over the Panthers in week 7 improved their record to 5-2, putting them in first place in the NFC East. After a week 6 loss to the Ravens, the Commanders bounced back with a dominant performance, easily covering the 10-point spread. They are now 5-1-1 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of +9.4 points per game.

Heading into week 8, our power rankings have Washington 8th in the NFL, and they have a 74.3% chance of making the playoffs. They also have a 46.4% chance of winning the NFC East. The Commanders are 3-0 at home this season and 2-2 on the road.

Bears Injury Report

  • Ian Wheeler – Knee (Out)
  • Terell Smith – Hip (Questionable)
  • Jaquan Brisker – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Kyler Gordon – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Tyrique Stevenson – Calf (Questionable)
  • Zacch Pickens – Groin (Questionable)
  • Stephen Carlson – Collarbone (Out)
  • Nsimba Webster – Groin (Out)
  • Larry Borom – Ankle (Out)
  • Jacob Martin – Undisclosed (Questionable)
  • Scott Daly – Knee (Questionable)
  • Travis Homer – Finger (Out)
  • Ryan Bates – Shoulder/elbow (Out)
  • Patrick Scales – Back (Out)

Commanders Injury Report

  • Tyler Owens – Shin (Questionable)
  • Javontae Jean-Baptiste – Ankle (Out)
  • Jordan Magee – Knee (Questionable)
  • Brandon Coleman – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Norell Pollard – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Jonathan Allen – Pectoral (Out)
  • Jamison Crowder – Calf (Out)
  • Dorance Armstrong – Ribs (Questionable)
  • Keandre Jones – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Jayden Daniels – Ribs (Questionable)
  • Tyler Biadasz – Hand (Questionable)

Bears Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 8, the Bears are 23rd in our offensive power rankings. They rank 10th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 24.7, and are 20th in passing yards, with 196.7 per game on 33.2 attempts (10th). On the ground, they sit 23rd in rushing yards, averaging 104.8 per game on 28 attempts (11th). Chicago ranks 21st in 3rd-down conversions, with a 35.4% success rate, and they are 11th in red zone conversion percentage.

Caleb Williams has been impressive, posting a passer rating of 124 in week 6, with 226 yards and 4 touchdowns against the Jaguars. D’Andre Swift led the Bears with 91 rushing yards on 17 carries, while Cole Kmet had 5 receptions for 70 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Commanders Offense Breakdown

washington commanders

Heading into week 8, the Commanders sit atop our offensive power rankings and lead the NFL in scoring with 31.1 points per game. They rank 4th in the league in total yards per game (384.1) and 13th in passing yards per game (218.7), despite being 24th in passing attempts. On the ground, Washington ranks 3rd in rushing yards per game (165.4) on 31.9 attempts per game, which is 5th in the NFL. The Commanders have also been efficient on 3rd down, converting 48.8% of their attempts, which ranks 3rd in the league.

In week 7, Marcus Mariota stepped in for the injured Jayden Daniels and posted a passer rating of 132, throwing for 205 yards and 2 touchdowns on 18/23 passing. Terry McLaurin led the team with 98 receiving yards on 6 catches, while Brian Robinson Jr. rushed for 71 yards and a touchdown. Washington scored 33 points in the first three quarters against the Panthers and converted 50% of their 3rd downs and 3 of 6 red zone opportunities.

Bears Team Defense

In their 35-16 win over the Jaguars, the Bears’ defense allowed just 3.4 yards per attempt on 20 rushing attempts. They also recorded four sacks and held Jacksonville to 68 rushing yards. Against the pass, Chicago gave up 210 yards and two touchdowns, while allowing the Jaguars to complete 66.7% of their passes.

Chicago’s defense also forced one interception and limited Jacksonville to a 46.7% third-down conversion rate. The Bears were active in the backfield, winning the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials in their most recent victory.

Commanders Team Defense

In their most recent game, the Washington Commanders’ defense was dominant, allowing just 85 passing yards and forcing two interceptions in a 40-7 win over the Panthers. The Commanders limited the Panthers to 95 rushing yards on 23 attempts and held them to just 7 points. Carolina managed only a 30% third-down conversion rate against Washington.

Washington’s defense also recorded two sacks and won the tackles for loss battle. The Commanders completely shut down the Panthers’ passing game, allowing just 13 completions and preventing any passing touchdowns.

Bears vs Commanders Trends

  • Through their last ten road contests, the Bears offense has averaged 17 points per game while allowing an average of 23. Chicago posted an overall record of 2-8 while going 5-5 ATS.
  • Washington has played well in their previous three home games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 34 points per game while allowing 25. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-0-1.
  • The last ten games that Washington was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 3-6-1 while going 2-8 straight up.
  • Through their last five games as the favorite, the Bears have an ATS record of 5-0 and a straight up mark of 5-0.

Bears vs Commanders Prediction

Our model has Washington coming out on top by a score of 24-23 in their week eight matchup against the Bears. With Washington being 2.5-point home underdogs, we recommend taking them to cover the spread.

As for an over/under pick, we like taking the over with the line sitting at 43.5 points. Our projections have these teams combining for 47 points, making the over a solid play in this one.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.