buccaneers vs lions nfl betting prediction
PublishedJanuary 16, 2024,            Posted By: Maria Uebelhor
Last updated:January 16, 2024 , ,

NFL: Buccaneers vs. Detroit Lions Prediction 1/21/2024

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-8) travel to face off against the Detroit Lions (12-5) on Sunday, January 21st. This game will be played at Ford Field in Ford Field and televised on NBC. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 3:00 ET.

Buccaneers vs Lionsdetroit lions betting

The Buccaneers Are Coming Off A Win

The Buccaneers are coming off a win in their last game where they beat the Eagles with a score of 32-9. Going into the game, the Buccaneers were actually 2.5-point underdogs. This resulted in an ATS win for the Buccaneers.

On offense, Baker Mayfield ended with 337 passing yards on a completion rate of 61%. On the ground, the Buccaneers ran the ball 29 times, amassing 119 yards. The team converted 6 third-downs at a rate of 42.9%.

Defensively, the Buccaneers gave up 276 total yards of offense to Philadelphia. Of these yards, 42 were gained through rushing plays, and the team’s secondary allowed 234 yards on 35 pass attempts.

Tampa Bay is currently 1st in the NFC-South this season, with an overall record of 9-8. In games outside the conference, they are 2-3 and in NFC games, they’ve gone 8-5.

The Buccaneers have put together an above .500 record versus the spread this season, currently at 12-6. Their average scoring margin for this season is +2.6. This season Tampa Bay games are 24th in total points. Their over/under record is 6-12, and the average over/under line for their games stands at 41.3 points.

Buccaneers Injury Report

  • SirVocea Dennis – Hamstring (Out)
  • Carlton Davis III – Toe (Out)
  • Calijah Kancey – Calf (Out)
  • Ryan Jensen – Knee (Out)
  • Russell Gage – Knee (Out)

The Lions Are Coming Off A Win

In their previous game, the Lions secured a victory against the Rams, by a score of 24-23. On the point spread, the Lions were favored by 3.5 against the Rams. Even though they won by 1 it was not enough to cover.

Against Los Angeles, quarterback Jared Goff had a passer rating of 121 while completing 81% of his passes. Overall, he ended the game with 277 yards through the air.

In their matchup with Los Angeles, the Lions defense had difficulty preventing the Rams offense from moving the chains, allowing 22 first downs. Overall, Detroit gave up 425 yards of offense, with the Rams passing game achieving a completion rate of 69.4%.

This season, the Lions currently hold an overall record of 12-5, placing them 1st in the NFC-North. They’ve achieved this record with a 1-2 record as underdogs and 12-3 when favored.

The Lions hold a 12-6 record against the spread. As we approach the Divisional round, their scoring margin stands at +3.7 per game. So far this season, Detroit games are 3rd in total points. Their over/under record is 11-7 and the average over/under line for their games is 47.4 points.

Lions Injury Report

  • Julian Okwara – Arm (Out)
  • Shane Zylstra – Knee (Out)
  • Jameson Williams – Suspension (Out)
  • Nate Sudfeld – Knee (Out)
  • Emmanuel Moseley – Knee/hamstring (Out)
  • Hendon Hooker – Knee (Out)
  • Taylor Decker – Ankle (Out)
  • Khalil Dorsey – Illness (Out)
  • Josh Paschal – Knee (Out)

Buccaneers Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Tampa Bay offense has been averaging 21.1 points per game, ranking them 19th in the league.

This season, the Tampa Bay passing offense is 19th in passing attempts. Their average of 228.8 passing yards per contest is 16th compared to other teams.

On a per-attempt basis, the Buccaneers average 3.6 yards while carrying the ball an average of 26 times per game. Regarding rushing yardage, they are 31st in the league.

Lions Offense Breakdown

This season, the Detroit offense has an average of 26.9 points, placing them 5th in the league.

Detroit is currently 11th in passing attempts and are averaging 7.3 yards per attempt (4). At 258.7 passing yards per game, they are 3rd in the league.

At 132.8 rushing yards per game, the Lions are 6th in the NFL. This figure has come on an average of 29.2 attempts (7th).

Buccaneers Team Defense

Tampa Bay is sitting 5th in points allowed so far. Heading into week 2, their opponents are putting up an average of 18.6 points per game, on 340.4 yards per contest.

Lions Team Defense

Going up against the Buccaneers’ offense, the Lions defense has allowed an average of 23.2 points per game. So far this season, they are 5th in quarterback hits and have yielded an average of 341.1 yards per contest.

Buccaneers vs Lions Trendstampa bay buccaneers betting

  • When looking at their past ten road matchups, Tampa Bay has an ATS record of 8-2 while averaging 22 per game. The team went 5-5 overall in these games.
  • When looking at their past ten home matchups, Detroit has an ATS record of 8-2 while averaging 23 per game. The team went 7-3 overall in these games.
  • The last ten games that Tampa Bay was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 8-2 while going 5-5 straight up.
  • The last ten games that Detroit was favored, they have an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 8-2 straight up.

Buccaneers vs Lions Prediction

Even though the Buccaneers are the 6-point underdogs on the road, I like them to cover the spread against the Lions. In their last game, the Lions defense struggled to get off the field, giving up 22 first-downs. Look for the Buccaneers offense to take advantage of facing a struggling defense.

I’m taking the under with the current over/under line at 48.5. Throughout the season, games involving Tampa Bay have averaged 39.7 points per game, and I anticipate this game will not exceed 48.5.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.