Los Angeles Chargers vs Cleveland Browns NFL Betting Prediction

NFL Chargers vs Cleveland Browns Prediction 11/3/2024

The Los Angeles Chargers will face off against the Cleveland Browns at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 3rd. This matchup is being played at Huntington Bank Field in Cleveland.

The Chargers are favored on the road with a money line of -126 as they take on the Browns at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 3rd. The Browns’ money line odds are +106, and the point spread is -2 in favor of the Chargers. The over/under line is set at 42 points for this week nine AFC matchup, which is being televised on CBS.

  • Date: Sunday, November 3rd
  • Time: 1:00 ET
  • Location: Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland
  • TV: CBS

Chargers vs Browns

los angeles chargers nfl

After a week 7 loss to the Cardinals, the Chargers bounced back with a 26-8 win over the Saints in week 8, improving their record to 4-3. Los Angeles was a 7.5-point favorite at home and covered the spread with an 18-point victory. The combined scoring fell short of the 41.5-point line, marking the Chargers’ second straight under.

Heading into week 9, the Chargers have a +5.9 scoring margin and are 4-2-1 against the spread. They rank 20th in our NFL power rankings and have a 60.4% chance of making the playoffs. They are 3rd in the AFC West with a 2-1 division record.

With a 2-6 record, the Browns sit 4th in the AFC North and 17th in our power rankings. We give them an 8.3% chance of making the playoffs and just a 0.8% chance of winning the division. Cleveland is 1-3 both at home and on the road, and they are 1-1 in division games and 2-2 in conference games.

Against the spread, the Browns are 3-5, with all three of their ATS wins coming as underdogs. In week 8, they covered the spread as 7-point underdogs with a 29-24 win over the Ravens. The combined score of 53 points went over the 44.5-point line. Cleveland’s O/U record is 3-5 this season, with their games averaging 40.5 points.

Chargers Injury Report

  • DJ Chark – Hip (Questionable)
  • Hayden Hurst – Groin (Questionable)
  • Gus Edwards – Ankle (Out)
  • Chris Rumph II – Foot (Out)
  • Asante Samuel Jr. – Shoulder (Out)
  • Kristian Fulton – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Chris Collins – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Quentin Johnston – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Deane Leonard – Hamstring (Out)
  • Derius Davis – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Bucky Williams – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Tyler McLellan – Undisclosed (Out)

Browns Injury Report

  • Myles Harden – Shin (Out)
  • Brandon Bouyer-Randle – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Ronnie Hickman – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Luke Wypler – Ankle (Out)
  • Tony Brown II – Foot (Out)
  • Nick Harris – Ankle (Out)
  • Hakeem Adeniji – Knee (Out)
  • Jedrick Wills Jr. – Knee (Questionable)
  • David Bell – Hip (Out)
  • Jerome Ford – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Alex Wright – Triceps (Out)
  • James Hudson III – Shoulder (Out)
  • Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah – Neck (Questionable)
  • Denzel Ward – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Nyheim Hines – Knee (Out)
  • Ogbo Okoronkwo – Knee (Questionable)
  • Jordan Hicks – Elbow/triceps (Questionable)
  • Charley Hughlett – Ribs (Out)
  • Deshaun Watson – Achilles (Out)

Chargers Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 9, the Chargers rank 18th in our offensive power rankings. They are 24th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 18.9, and 22nd in yards per game with 311.1. Los Angeles has leaned on the run game, ranking 10th in rushing attempts and 20th in rushing yards per game. On 3rd down, they rank 9th in the league with a 40.4% conversion rate, and they are 2nd in red zone conversion percentage.

Justin Herbert has posted a passer rating of 92 or higher in each of his last three games, including a 279-yard, 2-touchdown performance in week 8 against the Saints. He has not thrown an interception in his last three games. J.K. Dobbins rushed for 57 yards on 17 carries in week 8, while Ladd McConkey led the team with 6 catches for 111 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Browns Offense Breakdown

cleveland browns

Heading into week 9, the Browns rank 30th in our offensive power rankings. They are 27th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 17.2, and 30th in yards per game with 272.2. Cleveland is 3rd in passing attempts per game but only 28th in passing yards, averaging 179.8. On the ground, they rank 22nd in rushing attempts and 27th in rushing yards, with 92.5 per game. The Browns have struggled on 3rd down, converting just 27.7% of their attempts, which ranks 29th in the league. Despite being 18th in red zone attempts, they lead the NFL in red zone conversion percentage.

Jameis Winston took over at quarterback in week 8, throwing for 334 yards and 3 touchdowns without an interception. Cleveland scored 9 points in the 4th quarter, after putting up 14 in the 3rd. Cedric Tillman had 7 catches for 99 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Nick Chubb rushed for 52 yards on 16 carries.

Chargers Team Defense

In the Chargers’ 26-8 win over the Saints, their defense allowed just one touchdown and limited New Orleans to a 12.5% conversion rate on third down. The Chargers’ secondary was particularly effective, holding the Saints to 249 passing yards on 22 completions. Overall, the Chargers allowed just 52.4% completions. They also recorded five sacks and held the Saints to 117 rushing yards on 21 attempts.

Browns Team Defense

In their 29-24 win over the Ravens, the Browns’ defense allowed 263 passing yards and 124 rushing yards on just 21 attempts. Baltimore finished with 387 total yards, but Cleveland’s defense held them to a 20% third-down conversion rate. The Browns also gave up two passing touchdowns and recorded three sacks in the game.

Cleveland’s defense also won the tackles for loss battle, with a +1 differential, and their secondary limited the Ravens to a 60.5% completion rate. Despite giving up some big plays, the Browns were able to come up with key stops to secure the victory.

Chargers vs Browns Trends

  • Through their last three road games, Los Angeles has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 16 points per game.
  • Through their last five home games, Cleveland has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 1-4 while averaging 15 points per game.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Browns have a straight up record of 2-3 and an ATS mark of 3-2.
  • The Chargers have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 4-1 straight up and 4-1 against the spread.

Chargers vs Browns Prediction

For this week nine matchup between the Chargers and Browns, we have the Browns coming out on top by a score of 26-21. The point spread lines have the Browns as 2-point favorites, and we are going with them to cover as home underdogs.

As for an over/under pick, we really like the over, with a predicted combined score of 47 points. With the O/U line sitting at just 42 points, there is a lot of value in taking the over in this one.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.