Chicago Bears vs Buffalo Bills NFL Betting Prediction

NFL Chicago Bears vs Buffalo Bills Prediction 8/10/2024

The Bears are favored on the road as they take on the Bills at 1:00 ET on Saturday, August 10th at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY. This non-conference matchup is the first pre-season game for Buffalo, and Chicago is 1-0 in the pre-season. The Bears’ money line is -126, and the over/under line is set at 37.5 points. If you are looking to bet on this one, the Bills’ money line is +105 and the Bears are -1.5 point favorites. The game is being televised on NFLN.

  • Date: Saturday, August 10th
  • Time: 1:00 ET
  • Location: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park
  • TV: NFLN

Bears vs Bills

chicago bears nfl

Chicago pulled off a 21-17 comeback win over the Texans, despite falling behind early. The Bears were down 7-0 after the 1st quarter and 17-7 before Brett Rypien found Tommy Sweeney for a late 2nd quarter touchdown, making the score 17-14 in favor of the Texans at the half. Rypien and Collin Johnson connected for two touchdowns in the 2nd quarter, and Chicago took the lead for good with another Rypien to Johnson touchdown in the 3rd quarter.

Chicago’s win evened their pre-season record at 1-1. The Bears were +2.5 point underdogs heading into the game, and their straight-up win was also against the spread. The 38 combined points easily surpassed the 32.5-point total line.

The Bills went 2-1 last pre-season, winning their only home game and going 1-1 on the road. Buffalo was 1-0 as the underdog and 1-1 as the favorite. They opened with a 23-19 win over the Colts in week one but then lost to the Steelers in week two. Buffalo finished the pre-season with a 24-21 win over the Bears.

Bears Injury Report

  • Kiran Amegadjie – Undisclosed (Out)

Bills Injury Report

  • Tommy Doyle – Undisclosed (Out)
  • David Ugwoegbu – Undisclosed (Out)

Bears Offense Breakdown

Despite gaining just 13 first downs, the Bears’ offense managed to put up 21 points in their 21-17 win over the Texans. Chicago’s offense was led by quarterback Brett Rypien, who threw for 166 yards on 11 completions (73%). Rypien also had three touchdowns and a passer rating of 148. The Bears’ offense didn’t commit any turnovers and didn’t allow a sack in the game.

Chicago didn’t have much of a running game, with only 15 attempts for 86 yards. Rypien’s top target was Collin Johnson, who had two receiving touchdowns and 56 yards receiving. The Bears were efficient on third down, converting 50% of their chances.

Bills Offense Breakdown

buffalo bills

Buffalo’s running game was 13th in attempts and 15th in yards last pre-season. The Bills were 8th in passing yards (247.3) and 11th in scoring, averaging 20.7 points per game. They averaged 356.3 yards per game, ranking 8th in the league. Buffalo’s 36 passing attempts per game were 8th in the NFL.

Bears Team Defense

In their 21-17 win over the Texans, the Bears’ defense allowed just 15 first downs and limited Houston to 244 total yards. Chicago was particularly strong against the run, giving up only 54 yards on 21 attempts. Despite allowing two passing touchdowns, the Bears defended well against the pass, giving up just 190 yards through the air.

Chicago’s defense held Houston to a 25% third-down conversion rate and recorded one sack in the game. Although they allowed the Texans to complete 70.4% of their passes, the Bears were able to come up with key stops when needed.

Bills Team Defense

Last pre-season, Buffalo’s defense gave up 271 yards per game, which was the 8th best figure in the NFL. They finished 17th in points allowed, giving up 22.3 points per game. The Bills’ defense was tough to pass against, ranking 5th in passing yards allowed, while their rush defense was 14th.

Bears vs Bills Trends

  • Across their three previous road games, Chicago has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 12 points per game.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Bills have a straight up record of 6-4 while going 5-5 vs. the spread. The team averaged 25 points per game in this stretch.
  • As the betting underdog, the Bills have an ATS mark of just 2-3 in their last five games. Buffalo posted a straight up mark of 2-3 in these matchups.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Chicago has an ATS mark of 5-3-2 while going 8-2 straight up.

Bears vs Bills Prediction

Buffalo pulled off the 21-14 upset over the Bears, winning straight-up as +1.5 point underdogs. The Bills were the better bet ATS in their pre-season week one matchup, and the game also went under the total line of 37.5 points. The combined score was 35 points.

Buffalo’s win over Chicago is a good example of how pre-season NFL betting can be profitable. Even though the Bills were slight underdogs, they came out on top, and the under hit in this game as well. Keeping an eye on the under can be a good strategy in pre-season games, as the lines are typically a bit inflated.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.