Chicago Bears vs Buffalo Bills NFL Betting Prediction

NFL Chicago Bears vs Buffalo Bills Prediction 8/10/2024

With the Bears sitting at 1-0 in the pre-season, they are the favorites in their week one pre-season matchup vs. the Bills. This one is being played at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY, and is set to kick off at 1:00 ET. The Bears’ point spread is -1, and as of now, their money line odds are -118, and the Bills’ money line odds are -103.

As for the Bills, this is their first pre-season game of the year. If you are looking to watch this one, it is being televised on NFLN.

  • Date: Saturday, August 10th
  • Time: 1:00 ET
  • Location: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park
  • TV: NFLN

Bears vs Bills

chicago bears nfl

After the 1st quarter, the Bears were down 7-0 to the Texans. However, they battled back to take a 21-17 lead heading into the 4th quarter of this pre-season matchup. Our model had the Bears as 2.5-point underdogs, and they are currently leading by four.

Chicago’s comeback started in the 2nd quarter, as Brett Rypien found Collin Johnson for a touchdown to make the score 17-14 in favor of the Texans. Rypien and Tommy Sweeney connected for another touchdown just before halftime to bring the Bears back from a 17-7 deficit.

Buffalo went 1-1 on the road and 1-0 at home in last year’s pre-season, finishing with a 2-1 record. They opened with a 23-19 win over the Colts in week one. In week two, the Bills lost to the Steelers, but they bounced back and closed out the pre-season with a 24-21 win over the Bears.

Bears Injury Report

  • Kiran Amegadjie – Undisclosed (Out)

Bills Injury Report

  • Tommy Doyle – Undisclosed (Out)

Bears Offense Breakdown

Despite finishing with just 13 first downs, the Bears’ offense made the most of their opportunities in their 21-17 win over the Texans. Chicago finished with 192 yards passing on 20 attempts, with three of those attempts going for touchdowns. Brett Rypien led the way with 166 yards passing, going 11/15 and finishing with a passer rating of 148.

On the ground, the Bears had just 15 attempts but finished with 86 yards and 5.7 yards per attempt. Khalil Herbert led the team with 35 yards rushing, averaging 8.8 yards per attempt, including a 19-yard run. Collin Johnson was a key contributor in the passing game, finishing with 56 yards receiving and two receiving touchdowns.

Bills Offense Breakdown

buffalo bills

In the pre-season, the Bills’ running game finished 13th in attempts and 15th in yards. They averaged 109 rushing yards per game.

Buffalo’s passing game was more successful, finishing 5th in the pre-season with 247.3 passing yards per game. Overall, they averaged 356.3 yards per game, ranking 8th in the NFL, and 20.7 points per game, which was 11th.

Bears Team Defense

Despite allowing 15 first downs, the Bears’ defense really limited the Texans’ rushing attack in their 21-17 win, holding them to just 54 yards on 21 attempts. The Bears’ run defense was excellent in this one, and they didn’t allow a single run of over 10 yards.

In the passing game, the Bears gave up 190 yards through the air, with the Texans finishing with 27 passing attempts. Although they did allow two passing touchdowns, the Bears’ defense held the Texans to a 25% third-down conversion rate.

Bills Team Defense

Buffalo’s defense finished last pre-season giving up 108 rushing yards per game, putting them 14th in the league. They allowed 22.3 points per game, which was 17th in the NFL, and finished 8th in yards allowed at 271 per game.

Bears vs Bills Trends

  • Across their ten previous road games, Chicago has an ATS mark of 4-6. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-8 while averaging 17 points per game.
  • When looking at their past ten home matchups, Buffalo has an ATS record of 5-5 while averaging 25 per game. The team went 6-4 overall in these games.
  • As the betting underdog, the Bills have an ATS mark of just 5-5 in their last ten games. Buffalo posted a straight up mark of 5-5 in these matchups.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Bears have a straight up record of 8-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 5-3-2.

Bears vs Bills Prediction

With the Bears sitting at -1 and our projected score being 17-15 in favor of Chicago, there is a great opportunity to take the Bears to cover as road favorites in this week one pre-season matchup vs. Buffalo.

For the over/under, with the line sitting at 38 points, we are leaning towards taking the under, with a projected combined score of 32 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.