The Chicago Bears will face off against the Detroit Lions at 12:30 ET on Thursday, November 28th. This matchup is being played at Ford Field in Detroit.

The Lions are the heavy favorite in this one, with their money line at -590. The Bears and Lions will kick off at 12:30 ET on Thursday, November 28th at Ford Field in Detroit. The Lions are -10.5 point favorites, and the over/under line is at 48.5 points. You can watch this one on CBS.

• Date: Thursday, November 28th
• Time: 12:30 ET
• Location: Ford Field, Detroit
• TV: CBS

Bears vs Lions

Chicago heads into week 13 with a five-game losing streak, dropping their record to 4-7. They rank 24th in our power rankings and have just a 0.3% chance of making the playoffs. The Bears are 0-4 on the road this season, but they are 4-3 at home. In week 12, they lost 30-27 to the Vikings, leaving their division record at 0-2.

Despite their negative scoring margin, the Bears are 6-4-1 against the spread. They are 3-1 as the favorite and 3-3-1 as the underdog. Their O/U record is 4-7, with their games averaging 39.8 points compared to a line of 42.4.

With a 10-1 record, the Lions sit atop both the NFC North and our NFL power rankings heading into week 13. Detroit has won nine straight games, including a 24-6 victory over the Colts in week 12. They easily covered the 7-point spread in that matchup, bouncing back from a narrow 26-23 win over the Texans in week 10, where they failed to cover as 4-point favorites.

Our projections give the Lions a 100% chance of making the playoffs and an 84.4% chance of winning their division. Detroit has an average scoring margin of +16.1 points per game and is 9-2 against the spread this season. Their O/U record stands at 5-5-1, with their games averaging 49.4 points per game.

Bears Injury Report

• Ian Wheeler – Knee (Out)
• Jaquan Brisker – Concussion (Out)
• Elijah Hicks – Ankle (Questionable)
• Jaylon Jones – Shoulder (Out)
• Stephen Carlson – Collarbone (Out)
• Nsimba Webster – Groin (Out)
• Ryan Bates – Concussion (Questionable)
• Bill Murray – Chest (Out)
• Tommy Sweeney – Undisclosed (Out)
• Patrick Scales – Back (Out)
• Andrew Billings – Pectoral (Out)

Lions Injury Report

• Taylor Decker – Knee (Questionable)
• Kyle Peko – Pectoral (Out)
• Kalif Raymond – Foot (Questionable)
• DJ Reader – Illness (Questionable)
• David Montgomery – Shoulder (Questionable)
• Alex Anzalone – Forearm (Out)
• Michael Badgley – Hamstring (Out)
• Jalen Reeves-Maybin – Neck (Out)
• Carlton Davis – Knee/thumb (Questionable)
• Marcus Davenport – Elbow (Out)
• Aidan Hutchinson – Tibia (Out)
• Ifeatu Melifonwu – Finger (Out)
• Amon-Ra St. Brown – Knee (Questionable)
• David Bada – Achilles (Out)
• Derrick Barnes – Knee (Out)
• John Cominsky – Knee (Out)
• Netane Muti – Shoulder (Out)
• Connor Galvin – Knee (Out)
• Antoine Green – Concussion (Out)
• Ennis Rakestraw Jr. – Hamstring (Out)
• Terrion Arnold – Groin (Probable)
• Nate Lynn – Shoulder (Out)

Bears Offense Breakdown

Caleb Williams has improved his passer rating in each of the last three games, culminating with a 103 rating in week 12 against the Vikings, when he threw for 340 yards and 2 touchdowns without an interception. He also led the team in rushing with 33 yards on 6 carries. DJ Moore was his top target, catching 7 passes for 106 yards and a touchdown.

Heading into week 13, the Bears rank 23rd in our offensive power rankings. They are 21st in the NFL in points per game (20.1) and 26th in yards per game (298.9). Despite being 29th in passing yards per game, they rank 12th in passing attempts. On 3rd down, they rank 29th in the league, converting just 32.3% of their attempts.

Lions Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 13, the Lions are 2nd in our offensive power rankings, leading the NFL with 32.7 points per game. They are 2nd in total yards, averaging 394.3 per game, and 6th in passing yards with 243.5 per game. Despite ranking 27th in pass attempts, they emphasize the run game, ranking 3rd in rushing attempts and 4th in rushing yards, with 150.8 per game. Detroit is 4th in 3rd-down conversions, with a rate of 46.8%.

Jared Goff threw for 269 yards in week 12, completing 26 of 36 passes without a touchdown or interception. Jahmyr Gibbs led the ground game with 90 yards and 2 touchdowns on 21 carries, while Jameson Williams had 5 catches for 64 yards. Amon-Ra St. Brown, who had 161 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 11, is questionable for week 13 with a knee injury.

Bears Team Defense

In their 30-27 overtime loss to the Vikings, the Bears’ defense gave up 452 yards. They allowed 328 passing yards on 23 completions, including two passing touchdowns. Minnesota also found success in the running game, gaining 124 yards on 27 attempts.

Chicago’s defense struggled on third downs, allowing the Vikings to convert 46.2% of their third down attempts. However, the Bears did record three sacks and had a +5 advantage in quarterback hits.

Lions Team Defense

In their 24-6 win over the Colts, the Lions’ defense was outstanding, holding Indianapolis to just 172 yards passing on 11 completions. The Lions defended the run well, allowing just 96 yards on 21 attempts. Indianapolis struggled on third down, converting only 25% of their chances, and Detroit’s defense limited them to a 39.3% completion rate.

Despite not recording any sacks, the Lions’ defense was disruptive, winning the tackles for loss battle with a +6 differential. This was a key factor in keeping the Colts out of the end zone and holding them to just six points.

Bears vs Lions Trends

• Across the Bears last ten road games, the team averaged 14 points per game while allowing 21. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 4-6, while going 1-9 straight-up.
• Across the Lions last ten home games, the team averaged 26 points per game while allowing 20. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 8-2, while going 7-3 straight-up.
• In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Bears have a straight up record of 2-8 and an ATS mark of 4-5-1.
• In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Lions have a strong straight up record of 3-0. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.

Bears vs Lions Prediction

Our model has the Lions pulling off the upset over the Bears, with a final score prediction of 33-21 in favor of Detroit. Even though the Lions are 4-7 and the Bears are 3-8, we have the Lions coming out on top in this week 13 matchup.

As for the best way to bet this one, we like the Lions to cover the spread, as they are currently 10.5-point favorites at home. With the point spread at 48.5, we are leaning towards taking the over, projecting a combined score of 54 points.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.