Kansas City Chiefs vs Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Betting Prediction

NFL City Chiefs vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction 8/10/2024

With the point spread sitting at -1 in favor of the Jaguars, this week one pre-season matchup is a good one to keep an eye on. The Jaguars are the favorite at -123 on the money line, and this one is set to kick off at 7:00 ET on Saturday, August 10th at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville. If you are looking to watch this one, it will be on NFL Network.

  • Date: Saturday, August 10th
  • Time: 7:00 ET
  • Location: EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville
  • TV: NFLN

Chiefs vs Jaguars

kansas city chiefs nfl

The Chiefs are coming off a pre-season in which they went 2-1, including going 1-1 on the road and 1-0 at home. They opened with a 26-24 loss to the Saints in week one of last year’s pre-season but finished with back-to-back wins, beating the Cardinals 38-10 in week two and closing with a 33-32 win over the Browns.

The Jaguars went 3-0 last pre-season, starting with a 28-23 win over the Cowboys. They were 2-0 on the road and finished with a 31-18 win over the Dolphins. In between, Jacksonville beat the Lions 25-7 in week two.

Chiefs Injury Report

  • Justin Reid – Quad (Out)
  • Charles Omenihu – Knee (Out)
  • BJ Thompson – Chest (Out)

Jaguars Injury Report

  • David White Jr. – Knee (Out)
  • Josh Pederson – Ankle (Out)
  • Arik Armstead – Undisclosed (Out)

Chiefs Offense Breakdown

Finishing with an average of 320 passing yards per game, the Chiefs were the top passing offense in the pre-season last year. They averaged 40.7 passing attempts per game, which was 2nd in the NFL for the pre-season.

For the pre-season, the Chiefs’ offense was the top unit in the NFL, averaging 31.7 points per game and 414 yards per game. However, their rushing attack was just 25th in attempts and 21st in yards.

Jaguars Offense Breakdown

jacksonville jaguars

Finishing 2nd in the NFL in passing yards per game (268.7), the Jaguars were one of the top-scoring offenses in the pre-season last year. They averaged 28 points per game, which was 2nd in the league. This was fueled by a strong passing attack, and they were also 2nd in pre-season yards per game with 408.7.

Despite being 15th in passing attempts per game, the Jaguars leaned into their running game, finishing 4th in rushing attempts and 6th in rushing yards last pre-season.

Chiefs Team Defense

Despite finishing 18th in points allowed last pre-season, the Chiefs’ defense was the top-ranked unit in terms of yards allowed (306 per game). They finished with 79.7 rushing yards allowed per game, the 3rd best figure in the pre-season, and 226.3 passing yards allowed, which was 23rd.

Jaguars Team Defense

Despite giving up 188.7 passing yards per game last pre-season (11th), the Jaguars’ defense allowed just 16 points per game, finishing 6th in the NFL. They were one of the best units at limiting yardage, giving up 273 yards per game, the 2nd best figure in the pre-season.

Chiefs vs Jaguars Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Chiefs have a straight up record of 8-2 while going 6-3-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 21 points per game in these contests.
  • Across their ten previous home games, Jacksonville has an ATS mark of 7-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 6-4 while averaging 24 points per game.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Chiefs have a strong straight up record of 3-0. In addition, their ATS record was 3-0 in these scenarios.
  • In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Jaguars have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 1-2.

Chiefs vs Jaguars Prediction

Our projected score for this week one pre-season matchup between the Chiefs and Jaguars is 20-18 in favor of Jacksonville. With this projection, we are going with the Jaguars to cover the spread, as they are our pick to win at home.

For this Chiefs vs. Jaguars game, we also have a pick for the over/under line, which is currently sitting at 40.5 points. Our recommendation is to take the under, with a projected combined score of 38 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.