Detroit Lions vs Dallas Cowboys NFL Betting Prediction

NFL Detroit Lions vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction 10/13/2024

The Detroit Lions will face off against the Dallas Cowboys at 4:25 ET on Sunday, October 13th. This matchup is being played at AT&T Stadium in Arlington.

The Lions are favored on the road as they take on the Cowboys at 4:25 ET on Sunday, October 13th at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX. The Lions’ money line odds are -173, while the Cowboys are at +145. The game will be televised on FOX, with the Lions holding a -3.5 point spread advantage, and the over/under line is set at 52.5 points.

  • Date: Sunday, October 13th
  • Time: 4:25 ET
  • Location: AT&T Stadium, Arlington
  • TV: FOX

Lions vs Cowboys

detroit lions nfl

Heading into week 6, the Lions have a 3-1 record, putting them 2nd in the NFC North. After a week 2 loss to the Buccaneers, Detroit has won two straight, including a 42-29 victory over the Seahawks in week 4. They were favored by 4.5 points and covered the spread, bringing their ATS record to 3-1. The O/U line for the game was 47 points, and the teams combined for 71.

Our power rankings have the Lions 3rd in the NFL, and we give them a 74.6% chance of making the playoffs and a 30.2% chance of winning the division. Their average scoring margin this season is +5.5 points per game.

Dallas heads into week 6 against the Lions looking to extend their two-game winning streak, which includes a 20-17 road win over the Steelers in week 5. The Cowboys were 2.5-point underdogs in that game, but they came away with the victory, improving their record to 3-2. After the win, Dallas has a 41.1% chance of making the playoffs and a 19.9% chance of winning the NFC East. They rank 14th in our NFL power rankings.

Dallas is 2-0 on the road this season but 0-2 at home. They are 2-3 against the spread, with both of their ATS wins coming as underdogs. Their O/U record is 3-2, with the under hitting in their last two games.

Lions Injury Report

  • John Cominsky – Knee (Out)
  • Netane Muti – Shoulder (Out)
  • Derrick Barnes – Knee (Out)
  • Ifeatu Melifonwu – Ankle (Out)
  • Marcus Davenport – Elbow (Out)
  • Frank Ragnow – Pectoral (Questionable)
  • Tre’Quan Smith – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Michael Badgley – Hamstring (Out)
  • Emmanuel Moseley – Pectoral (Out)
  • Brian Branch – Illness (Questionable)
  • Connor Galvin – Knee (Out)
  • Antoine Green – Concussion (Out)
  • Brodric Martin – Knee (Out)
  • Christian Mahogany – Illness (Out)
  • Nate Lynn – Shoulder (Out)

Cowboys Injury Report

  • Micah Parsons – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Chuma Edoga – Toe (Out)
  • Jordan Phillips – Wrist (Out)
  • Brandin Cooks – Knee (Out)
  • DeMarcus Lawrence – Foot (Out)
  • Earl Bostick Jr. – Leg (Out)
  • Sam Williams – Knee (Out)
  • DaRon Bland – Foot (Out)
  • Marshawn Kneeland – Knee (Questionable)
  • Nathan Thomas – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Caelen Carson – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Tyler Guyton – Knee (Questionable)

Lions Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 6, the Lions are 4th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 6th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 26 points per game, and are 3rd in total yards with 397 per game. Detroit is 15th in passing attempts but 7th in passing yards, averaging 245.8 per game. On the ground, they rank 4th in rushing attempts and 6th in rushing yards, with 151.2 per game. The Lions are converting 45.8% of their 3rd downs, which ranks 6th in the league, and they are 21st in red zone conversion percentage despite ranking 4th in red zone attempts.

Jared Goff is coming off a perfect 18/18 performance in week 4, throwing for 292 yards and 3 touchdowns against the Seahawks. Jahmyr Gibbs led the team in rushing with 78 yards on 14 carries, while Jameson Williams had 2 catches for 80 yards. Before that, Goff threw for 199 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 3 and had a 307-yard game in week 2, despite 2 interceptions.

Cowboys Offense Breakdown

dallas cowboys

Heading into week 6, the Cowboys are 15th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 14th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 23.4, and 11th in yards per game with 353.6. Dallas has been pass-heavy, ranking 2nd in both passing attempts (38.8 per game) and passing yards (271.6 per game). On the ground, they rank 22nd in rushing attempts and 31st in rushing yards, averaging just 82 per game.

In week 5, Dak Prescott threw for 352 yards, completing 29 of 42 passes with 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Rico Dowdle led the rushing attack with 87 yards on 20 carries, while Jalen Tolbert had 7 catches for 87 yards and a touchdown. Dallas scored 14 points in the 4th quarter and converted 9 of 15 third-down attempts in their win over the Steelers.

Lions Team Defense

In their 42-29 win over the Seahawks, the Lions’ defense gave up 383 passing yards on 38 completions. They also allowed 133 rushing yards on just 19 attempts, with Seattle averaging 7 yards per attempt on the ground. Despite this, the Lions still came out on top.

Detroit’s defense managed to intercept one pass and recorded three sacks in the game. They also forced Seattle into a 50% third-down conversion rate. The Lions’ defense will be looking to tighten up in the secondary and against the run in their next game.

Cowboys Team Defense

The Cowboys’ defense played well on third downs in their 20-17 win over the Steelers, allowing just a 25% conversion rate. They also held Pittsburgh to 134 yards passing on just 4.8 yards per attempt. Dallas’ defense recorded three sacks and limited the Steelers to 92 yards rushing on 26 attempts.

Despite their strong play, the Cowboys did allow two passing touchdowns. Overall, they held the Steelers to just 226 total yards and 17 points in the game.

Lions vs Cowboys Trends

  • Detroit has a 1-2 record in their last three road games. In this stretch, they averaged 23 points per game while allowing 22. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-0.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Dallas has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 26 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
  • As the betting underdog, the Cowboys have an ATS mark of just 3-7 in their last ten games. Dallas posted a straight up mark of 3-7 in these matchups.
  • Through their last three games as the favorite, the Lions have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 2-1.

Lions vs Cowboys Prediction

Our model has the Lions pulling off the upset over the Cowboys, with a final score prediction of 32-23 in favor of Detroit. With the point spread at -3.5 in favor of the Lions, we like them to not only win but cover as road favorites.

For this week six matchup, we also like the over as a strong play. The current O/U line is 52.5 points, and our projections have these teams combining for 55 points, making the over an appealing bet.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.