Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers NFL Betting Prediction

NFL Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers Prediction 11/3/2024

The Detroit Lions will face off against the Green Bay Packers at 4:25 ET on Sunday, November 3rd. This matchup is being played at Lambeau Field in Green Bay.

The Lions are favored on the road as they take on the Packers at 4:25 ET on Sunday, November 3rd. This week nine NFC North matchup is being televised on FOX, with the Lions at -3.5 on the point spread and -179 on the money line. The Packers are +3.5 on the point spread and +149 on the money line. The over/under line is set at 48.5 points.

  • Date: Sunday, November 3rd
  • Time: 4:25 ET
  • Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay
  • TV: FOX

Lions vs Packers

detroit lions nfl

Heading into week 9, the Lions sit atop our NFL power rankings and have a 64.6% chance of winning the NFC North and a 95.7% chance of making the playoffs. Detroit is 6-1 this season and has won five straight games, including a 52-14 victory over the Titans in week 8. They also have a 1-0 division record and are 5-1 in conference games.

Against the spread, the Lions are 6-1 and have covered in five straight games. They easily covered the 12.5-point spread against the Titans, winning by 38 points. The over has hit in four consecutive Lions games, including week 8, when the teams combined for 66 points on a 45-point line.

Green Bay heads into week 9 against the Lions on a four-game winning streak, putting their record at 6-2. After a week 4 loss to the Vikings, the Packers bounced back with wins over the Rams, Cardinals, Texans, and Jaguars. Their most recent victory came in week 8, when they narrowly defeated Jacksonville 30-27. Green Bay was favored by 3.5 points in that game, but they couldn’t cover the spread.

Our power rankings have the Packers 7th, and they have an 81.6% chance of making the playoffs. They are 4-4 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of +5.8 points per game. Their O/U record is 4-3-1, with their games averaging 48.2 points.

Lions Injury Report

  • Kyle Peko – Pectoral (Out)
  • John Cominsky – Knee (Out)
  • Michael Badgley – Hamstring (Out)
  • Emmanuel Moseley – Pectoral (Out)
  • Marcus Davenport – Elbow (Out)
  • Jameson Williams – Suspension (Out)
  • Aidan Hutchinson – Tibia (Out)
  • Ifeatu Melifonwu – Ankle (Out)
  • Josh Paschal – Illness (Questionable)
  • David Bada – Achilles (Out)
  • Derrick Barnes – Knee (Out)
  • Netane Muti – Shoulder (Out)
  • Brodric Martin – Knee (Out)
  • Connor Galvin – Knee (Out)
  • Antoine Green – Concussion (Out)
  • Malcolm Rodriguez – Ankle (Doubtful)
  • Nate Lynn – Shoulder (Out)

Packers Injury Report

  • Ralen Goforth – Knee/ankle (Out)
  • Evan Williams – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Quay Walker – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Luke Musgrave – Ankle (Out)
  • Jordan Love – Groin (Questionable)
  • AJ Dillon – Neck (Out)
  • Tyler Davis – Shoulder (Out)
  • MarShawn Lloyd – Ankle (Out)
  • Corey Ballentine – Ankle (Questionable)

Lions Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 9, the Lions are 3rd in our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in scoring, averaging 33.4 points per game, and rank 6th in total yards with 385.1 per game. Despite being 25th in passing attempts, they are 10th in passing yards, averaging 228.4 per game. On the ground, Detroit ranks 8th in rushing attempts and 6th in rushing yards, with 156.7 per game. They are 7th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a 42.9% success rate.

Jared Goff has been on fire, posting passer ratings of 153, 140, and 129 over his last three games. He threw for 85 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 8, completing 12 of 15 passes. Jahmyr Gibbs rushed for 127 yards on 11 carries in week 8, while Sam LaPorta led the team in receiving with 6 catches for 48 yards and a touchdown.

Packers Offense Breakdown

green bay packers

Heading into week 9, the Packers rank 11th in our offensive power rankings. They are 6th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 27 points per game, and 5th in yards per game with 387.4. Green Bay has leaned on the run game, ranking 4th in rushing attempts and 5th in rushing yards per game (156.9). On 3rd down, they rank 15th in the league with a 38.9% conversion rate, and they are 22nd in red zone conversion percentage, despite ranking 5th in red zone attempts.

Josh Jacobs rushed for 127 yards and 2 touchdowns on 25 carries in week 8. Jordan Love threw for 196 yards on 14/22 passing, with 1 interception and no touchdowns. Tucker Kraft led the team in receiving with 3 catches for 78 yards and a touchdown. The Packers scored 10 points in the 4th quarter to secure a 30-27 win over the Jaguars.

Lions Team Defense

In their 52-14 win over the Titans, the Lions’ defense forced two interceptions and held Tennessee to just 27.3% on third down. Despite giving up 158 rushing yards on 32 attempts, Detroit held the Titans to only one sack and 1-of-4 in the red zone. The Lions allowed 416 yards, but the game was already out of reach by the time the Titans started putting up yards.

Detroit’s secondary played well, allowing just a 57.9% completion rate and giving up 258 yards through the air. They also had one sack and forced two turnovers. The Lions’ defense was also helped by their offense, which jumped out to a big lead early in the game.

Packers Team Defense

In their 30-27 win over the Jaguars, the Packers’ defense allowed 390 yards, with Jacksonville converting on 11.1% of their third down attempts. The Packers gave up 299 passing yards on 21 completions, including two passing touchdowns. They did come up with one interception. The Jaguars ran for 91 yards on 23 attempts.

The Packers’ defense struggled to stop the big plays in the passing game, as the Jaguars averaged 9.3 yards per attempt. Green Bay’s only sack came from their defensive front, and they lost the tackles for loss battle by -2.

Lions vs Packers Trends

  • The Lions are 5-0 ATS in their last road games and 3-2 straight-up.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Packers have a straight up record of 7-3 while going 6-4 vs. the spread. The team averaged 29 points per game in this stretch.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Packers have a straight up record of 7-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 8-2.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Lions have a straight up record of 9-1 and an ATS mark of 8-2.

Lions vs Packers Prediction

Our model has the Lions pulling off the upset in this one, with a final score of 32-24 in favor of Detroit. With the point spread sitting at -3.5 in favor of the Lions, we are taking them to cover as the road favorites.

For the over/under, we like this one to go over, with a projected combined score of 56 points, surpassing the O/U line of 48.5 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.