The New England Patriots will face off against the Chicago Bears at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 10th. This matchup is being played at Soldier Field in Chicago.
The Bears are the heavy favorite in their week ten matchup against the Patriots, which is set to kick off at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 10th at Soldier Field in Chicago. The Bears’ money line odds are -278, while the Patriots’ money line odds are +226. On the point spread, the Bears are -6, and the over/under line is 39 points. This non-conference matchup is being televised on FOX.
- Date: Sunday, November 10th
- Time: 1:00 ET
- Location: Soldier Field, Chicago
- TV: FOX
Patriots vs Bears
Heading into week 10, the Patriots sit at 2-7, placing them 32nd in our NFL power rankings. New England has a scoring margin of -8.4 points per game and is 3-5-1 against the spread, covering in two straight games. They were underdogs in all of their matchups so far. Their O/U record is 5-4, with their games averaging 39.8 points per contest.
After snapping a six-game losing streak with a win over the Jets in week 8, the Patriots couldn’t keep the momentum going, falling to the Titans 20-17 in week 9. New England was a 3.5-point underdog in that game but managed to cover the spread. The combined points (37) fell just below the 38-point line.
After three straight wins, the Bears have now dropped two in a row, including a 29-9 loss to the Cardinals in week 9. Chicago entered the game as 1.5-point underdogs but couldn’t keep it close, leaving their record at 4-4. They are 4-0 at home but have yet to win on the road this season.
According to our projections, the Bears have a 13.5% chance of making the playoffs and a 1% chance of winning the NFC North. They rank 19th in our NFL power rankings. Against the spread, Chicago is 5-3, with a +3 scoring margin. Their O/U record is 3-5, with the under hitting in two straight games.
Patriots Injury Report
- Caedan Wallace – Ankle (Out)
- JaQuae Jackson – Knee (Out)
- Jake Andrews – Undisclosed (Out)
- Alex Austin – Ankle (Questionable)
- Cole Strange – Undisclosed (Out)
- Christian Barmore – Blood Clot (Out)
- Kyle Dugger – Ankle (Questionable)
- Oshane Ximines – Knee (Out)
- Ja’Whaun Bentley – Pectoral (Out)
- Chukwuma Okorafor – Commissioner Exempt List (Out)
- Jabrill Peppers – Commissioner Exempt List (Out)
- David Andrews – Shoulder (Out)
Bears Injury Report
- Ian Wheeler – Knee (Out)
- Caleb Williams – Ankle (Questionable)
- Kiran Amegadjie – Calf (Questionable)
- Terell Smith – Ankle (Questionable)
- Darnell Wright – Knee (Questionable)
- Braxton Jones – Knee (Questionable)
- Jaquan Brisker – Concussion (Questionable)
- Kyler Gordon – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Jaylon Jones – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Stephen Carlson – Collarbone (Out)
- Nsimba Webster – Groin (Out)
- Bill Murray – Chest (Out)
- Ryan Bates – Shoulder/elbow (Questionable)
- Montez Sweat – Shin (Questionable)
- Tommy Sweeney – Undisclosed (Out)
- Andrew Billings – Chest (Questionable)
- Patrick Scales – Back (Out)
Patriots Offense Breakdown
Heading into week 10, the Patriots rank 27th in our offensive power rankings. They sit 29th in the NFL in points per game (15.7) and 31st in yards per game (264.8). Despite ranking 16th in passing attempts, New England is last in passing yards per game, averaging 153.8. On the ground, they are 23rd in rushing attempts and 24th in rushing yards per game, with 111. Their third-down conversion rate of 34.4% ranks 23rd, but they are 6th in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 14th in red zone attempts.
Drake Maye threw for 206 yards (29/41) in week 9, with one touchdown and two interceptions. He was sacked four times but led the team in rushing with 95 yards on 8 carries. Hunter Henry had 7 catches for 56 yards. New England scored 17 points against the Titans, with 3 in the 2nd quarter and 7 in both the 3rd and 4th quarters.
Bears Offense Breakdown
Heading into week 10, the Bears rank 24th in our offensive power rankings. They are 18th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 21.5, and 27th in yards per game with 294.6. Chicago ranks 12th in passing attempts but is 29th in passing yards per game, averaging 182.1. On the ground, they are 14th in rushing attempts and 23rd in rushing yards per game, with 112.5. The Bears have struggled on third down, converting just 31.5% of their attempts, which ranks 28th in the league. However, they have been efficient in the red zone, converting 50% of their opportunities, which ranks 6th in the NFL.
In week 9, Chicago scored just 9 points, all coming in the 2nd quarter, in their loss to the Cardinals. Caleb Williams threw for 217 yards on 22/41 passing and was sacked 6 times. D’Andre Swift had 51 rushing yards on 16 carries, while Rome Odunze led the team with 5 catches for 104 yards.
Patriots Team Defense
In their 20-17 overtime loss to the Titans, the Patriots’ defense allowed 400 total yards. They struggled to stop the run, giving up 167 yards on 39 attempts and lost the tackles for loss differential by -3. Despite allowing two passing touchdowns, they did come up with one interception and held the Titans to 60.6% completions.
New England’s defense allowed the Titans to convert on 43.8% of their third downs. They managed just one sack in the game and lost the QB hit battle by a margin of -5.
Bears Team Defense
In their 29-9 loss to the Cardinals, the Bears’ defense gave up 213 rushing yards on just 34 attempts, including a long of 53 yards. Despite this, the Bears held the Cardinals to 137 passing yards on 13 completions. Arizona finished with 350 total yards, and Chicago’s defense managed to force the Cardinals to convert on just 38.5% of their third down attempts.
Chicago’s defense also recorded three sacks in the game, but the high rushing total and the offense’s inability to sustain drives put them on the field for a lot of the game.
Patriots vs Bears Trends
- In their last three games away from home, the Patriots have a straight up record of 0-3 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 15 points per game in this stretch.
- In their last three games at home, the Bears have a straight up record of 0-3 while going 0-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 13 points per game in these contests.
- In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Patriots have a straight up record of 2-8 and an ATS mark of 4-5-1.
- Chicago has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS in their last five games.
Patriots vs Bears Prediction
Our pick vs. the spread in this Patriots vs. Bears matchup is to take the Patriots to cover as road underdogs. The point spread line has the Patriots at +6, and we have the Bears winning by a score of 19-14.
As for an over/under pick, with the line sitting at just 39 points, we like the under, with a projected combined score of 33 points.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:November 6, 2024 Chicago Bears, New England Patriots