Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts NFL Betting Prediction

NFL Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction 9/8/2024

The Houston Texans will face off against the Indianapolis Colts at 1:00 ET on Sunday, September 8th. This matchup is being played at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis.

With a money line of -140, the Texans are favored on the road as they face the Colts in a week one matchup. The Texans and Colts will kick off their seasons at 1:00 ET on Sunday, September 8th at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. The Colts’ money line odds are +118, and the Texans are -2.5 point favorites, with the over/under line set at 49 points. This AFC South matchup will be aired on CBS.

  • Date: Sunday, September 8th
  • Time: 1:00 ET
  • Location: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis
  • TV: CBS

Texans vs Colts

houston texans nfl

The Texans are coming off a season in which they made it to the Divisional Round of the playoffs before losing to the Ravens 34-10. Houston finished the regular season with a 10-7 record and won the AFC South with a 4-2 divisional record. They were strong at home with a 7-3 record, but just below .500 on the road at 4-5. Against teams with winning records, they went 7-5, and against below .500 teams, they went 4-3.

Their games averaged 43.8 points per game last season, with an over/under record of 7-11-1. When favored, the Texans were 5-3, and as underdogs, they went 6-5. Their record against the spread was 10-9, with a 7-4 mark as the underdog and 3-5 when favored.

The Texans’ season ended with a 34-10 loss to the Ravens in the AFC Divisional round, finishing with a 10-7 record. Houston’s success came from their play within the AFC South, where they went 4-2 and took first place. They were tough against good teams, going 7-5 vs. above .500 teams, but were just 4-3 against below .500 teams. At home, they were 7-3, and on the road, they were 4-5.

Against the spread, the Texans were 10-9, with a 7-4 mark as the underdog and 3-5 as the favorite. Their games averaged 43.8 combined points, with an over/under record of 7-11-1. The Texans’ over/under record was 7-11-1, and their games averaged 43.8 points per game.

Texans Injury Report

  • Christian Harris – Calf (Out)
  • Kurt Hinish – Calf (Out)
  • Denico Autry – Suspension (Out)
  • LaDarius Henderson – Foot (Out)
  • Jaylon Thomas – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Dylan Horton – Personal (Out)
  • Dalton Keene – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Case Keenum – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Brandon Hill – Knee (Out)
  • Will Anderson Jr. – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Kris Boyd – Leg (Questionable)

Colts Injury Report

  • Trey Sermon – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Josh Downs – Ankle (Questionable)
  • JuJu Brents – Nose (Questionable)
  • Matt Gay – Groin (Questionable)
  • Jelani Woods – Toe (Out)
  • Tanor Bortolini – Toe (Questionable)
  • Ryan Coll – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Daniel Scott – Achilles (Out)
  • Wesley French – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Samson Ebukam – Achilles (Out)
  • Juwann Winfree – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Cameron McGrone – Undisclosed (Out)

Texans Offense Breakdown

The Texans’ running game struggled last season, ranking 28th in rushing yards and 29th in rushing yards per attempt. Despite this, they were 13th in the league in offensive power ranking, averaging 22.7 points per game, which was also 13th in the NFL. Houston was better at home, averaging 26.6 points per game compared to 18.4 on the road.

In the passing game, the Texans were 8th in the league, averaging 243.6 passing yards per game. They finished 12th in passing yards per attempt. Houston also had the 2nd highest percentage of first downs coming from passing plays, at 1254.1%.

C.J. Stroud played in 15 games last season and is heading into his 2nd season in the league. He threw for a total of 4,108 yards, ranking 8th in the league and averaging 273 yards per game. Stroud finished with a passer rating of 100.8 and threw 23 touchdowns, which was 11th at his position.

Stroud had the 5th fewest interceptions among quarterbacks last season, with just 5 picks. He also had the 3rd most rushing touchdowns at the position, with a total of 3. For the season, Stroud completed 63.9% of his passes and averaged 33 passing attempts per game, which was 13th in the league.

Colts Offense Breakdown

indianapolis colts

The Texans’ offense ranked 13th in the league last season, averaging 22.7 points per game. They were more effective at home, averaging 26.6 points per game compared to 18.4 on the road. Houston was 15th in yards per game, averaging 336.3 yards per contest, and 12th in yards per play, with 5.5.

Even though they were 28th in rushing yards, the Texans were 8th in passing yards, with an average of 243.6 yards per game. They also had the 2nd highest percentage of first downs coming from passing plays, at 1254.1%.

Anthony Richardson, now in his 2nd season, played in four games last year for the Colts. He completed 50 of 84 passes for 577 yards, finishing the season with a 59.5% completion rate. Richardson threw three touchdowns and one interception.

Richardson and the Colts are set to face the Texans this week. Last season, he averaged 6.9 yards per attempt and 11.5 yards per completion over his limited playing time.

Texans Team Defense

The Texans’ defense was 11th in points allowed last season, giving up 21.1 points per game. They were 19th in the NFL in terms of yards allowed, giving up an average of 331.5 yards per game. Houston was tough against the run, ranking 2nd in rushing yards per attempt.

One of their strengths was their ability to pressure the quarterback, as they were 9th in sacks and 7th in quarterback hits. Additionally, they led the league in passing touchdowns allowed. Despite this, opponents had success moving the ball through the air, with a completion percentage of 67.6% (27th).

Colts Team Defense

Despite allowing the 3rd fewest rushing yards per attempt, the Texans’ defense gave up a lot of completions last season, as their 67.6% completion percentage against ranked 27th. They were also just below average in terms of yards allowed, giving up 331.5 yards per game (15th). Houston’s defense allowed 21.1 points per game, which was 11th best in the NFL.

On the positive side, the Texans’ defense was good at taking the ball away, ranking 7th in the league with 24 takeaways. They also excelled in pressuring the quarterback, finishing 7th in quarterback hits and 9th in sacks.

Texans vs Colts Trends

  • The Texans are 3-2 ATS in their last road games and 3-2 straight-up.
  • Across the Colts last ten home games, the team averaged 21 points per game while allowing 26. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 6-4, while going 5-5 straight-up.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Colts have gone 4-6 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 3-7.
  • The last ten games that Houston was favored, they have an ATS mark of 3-7 while going 5-5 straight up.

Texans vs Colts Prediction

For this week one matchup between the Texans and Colts, we have the Texans coming out on top by a score of 24-23. Despite the Colts being the home team, our pick vs. the spread is to take the Texans to cover as 2.5-point favorites.

As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 49 points, we are leaning towards taking the under with a projected combined score of 47 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.