NFL Jaguars vs Miami Dolphins Prediction 9/8/2024

The Jacksonville Jaguars will face off against the Miami Dolphins at 1:00 ET on Sunday, September 8th. This matchup is being played at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens.

The Jaguars and Dolphins will kick off their season at 1:00 ET on Sunday, September 8th at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL. The Dolphins are the favorite with a money line of -170 and are -3 point favorites on the point spreads. The over/under line is sitting at 49.5 points. You can catch this week one AFC matchup on CBS.

Date: Sunday, September 8th
Time: 1:00 ET
Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens
TV: CBS

Jaguars vs Dolphins

jacksonville jaguars nfl

The Jaguars were 4-5 at home last season, but they excelled on the road with a 5-3 record. Overall, they finished the 2023 season with a 9-8 record, placing 2nd in the AFC South with a 4-2 record against division rivals. Despite their home struggles, they performed well as favorites, going 7-4 while posting a 2-4 record as underdogs.

Against the spread, the Jaguars were 9-8 overall, with a 7-4 record as favorites and a 2-4 record as underdogs. The Jaguars’ over/under record was 8-9, and their games averaged 44 points per game. Their games had an average over/under line of 43.1, with 16 games having lower lines than 49.5.

The Jaguars are coming off a season in which they went 9-8 overall, finishing 2nd in the AFC South with a 4-2 record against division rivals. Their road record of 5-3 was better than their home record of 4-5. Last season, they were 7-4 as the favorite and 2-4 as the underdog. Against the spread, the Jaguars were 9-8, going 7-4 as the favorite and 2-4 as the underdog.

Jacksonville’s 9-8 record placed them 9th in the AFC and they were above .500 against above .500 teams, going 6-7. They performed well against weaker opponents, going 3-1 against below .500 teams. The Jaguars’ over/under record was 8-9, and their games averaged 44 points per game.

Jaguars Injury Report

David White Jr. – Knee (Out)
Tashaun Gipson Sr. – Suspension (Out)
Andrew Wingard – Knee (Out)
De’Shaan Dixon – Knee (Out)
Keilan Robinson – Undisclosed (Out)
Foyesade Oluokun – Hamstring (Questionable)
Christian Kirk – Calf (Probable)
Daniel Thomas – Heel (Questionable)

Dolphins Injury Report

Patrick McMorris – Foot (Out)
Wyatt Ray – Undisclosed (Out)
Cam Smith – Undisclosed (Out)
River Cracraft – Undisclosed (Out)
Aaron Brewer – Hand (Questionable)
Jaylen Waddle – Undisclosed (Questionable)
Jalen Ramsey – Undisclosed (Questionable)
Anthony Walker Jr. – Undisclosed (Questionable)
Jaelan Phillips – Achilles (Questionable)
Jevon Holland – Undisclosed (Questionable)
Jordan Poyer – Thumb (Questionable)
Tyreek Hill – Hand (Probable)
Kion Smith – Knee (Out)
Cam Brown – Knee (Out)
Grayson Murphy – Knee (Out)
Anthony Schwartz – Undisclosed (Out)
Tahj Washington – Undisclosed (Out)
Odell Beckham Jr. – Undisclosed (Out)
Bradley Chubb – Knee (Out)
Isaiah Wynn – Undisclosed (Out)
Cameron Goode – Undisclosed (Out)

Jaguars Offense Breakdown

Jacksonville’s offense was 20th in the league last season, averaging 22.2 points per game (15th). They were more effective on the road, where they scored 23.8 points per game, ranking 7th compared to 20.8 points at home (23rd). The Jaguars were 12th in the league in yards per game, averaging 339.5, and 16th in yards per play, with 5.2.

The Jaguars struggled to run the ball efficiently, ranking 31st in rushing yards per attempt. However, they were 9th in passing yards per game, averaging 242.7 yards, and 7th in passing attempts per game, averaging 36.5.

Trevor Lawrence is entering his 4th season in the league and is coming off a season in which he played in 16 games for the Jaguars. He finished with 4,016 passing yards, ranking 10th in the league. Lawrence threw for at least 200 yards in his final six games and threw 21 touchdowns, which was 12th at his position.

Lawrence had 14 interceptions last year and finished with a passer rating of 88.5. He was 7th in passing attempts per game and 8th in passing completions. For the season, Lawrence completed 65.6% of his passes and averaged 251 passing yards per game.

Dolphins Offense Breakdown

miami dolphins

On the road, the Jaguars averaged 23.8 points per game, ranking 7th, while at home, they dropped to 23rd with 20.8 points per game. Overall, they were 15th in the league, averaging 22.2 points per game. They were 20th in offensive power rankings. The Jaguars were 12th in yards per game, averaging 339.5 yards per contest. They were also 16th in yards per play, averaging 5.2 yards.

Jacksonville was 9th in passing yards per game, averaging 242.7 yards. They were 7th in passing attempts per game, with 36.5. However, the Jaguars struggled to run the ball, finishing 23rd in rushing yards and 31st in rushing yards per attempt.

Tua Tagovailoa threw for 4,624 yards last season, leading the league in passing yards. He played in 17 games and recorded a passer rating of 101.1, ranking 10th at his position. For the season, Tagovailoa was 8th in passing attempts per game, with an average of 32, and 4th in passing completions, averaging 22 per game.

Tagovailoa threw 29 touchdowns (5th) compared to 14 interceptions last year. He completed 69.3% of his passes and averaged 272 yards per game. Additionally, he had the most passing touchdowns among quarterbacks in three different weeks during the season.

Jaguars Team Defense

Despite finishing 16th in points allowed at 21.8 per game, the Jaguars’ defense was the 7th best unit in the league last season. They forced 27 takeaways, which was the 5th best figure in the NFL. In terms of yards allowed, they were 19th in the league, giving up an average of 342.8 yards per game. They also held quarterbacks to the 10th most hits last season.

Against the run, the Jaguars were tough, giving up just 4.2 yards per attempt, which was 7th best in the league. They also excelled on third downs, allowing a conversion rate of only 36.5%, ranking 8th in the league.

Dolphins Team Defense

Jacksonville’s defense was tough against the run, allowing just 4.2 yards per attempt, which was 7th best in the league. However, they struggled to get to the quarterback, finishing 15th in sacks and 10th in quarterback hits.

Jaguars vs Dolphins Trends

When looking at their past five road matchups, Jacksonville has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 20 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
Through their last three home games, Miami has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 23 points per game.
The last ten games that Jacksonville was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 5-5 straight up.
The Dolphins have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 2-1 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.

Jaguars vs Dolphins Prediction

For this week one matchup between the Jaguars and Dolphins, our pick to win and cover the spread is the Jaguars, with the current line sitting at +3 in favor of the Jaguars. However, if you are looking to make a pick straight-up, we have the Dolphins pulling out a close win by a score of 22-21.

As for our best bet vs. the spread, we are taking the Jaguars to cover as road underdogs. The over/under line for this one is 49.5, and with our projections coming in at 43 combined points, we’d lean towards taking the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.

Blog