The Miami Dolphins will face off against the Los Angeles Rams at 8:15 ET on Monday, November 11th. This matchup is being played at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood.
ESPN will broadcast the week 10 non-conference matchup between the Dolphins and Rams, which is set to kick off at 8:15 ET. The game is being played at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA. The Rams are the favorite with a point spread of -2.5 and their money line odds are -140. Miami’s money line odds are +118, and the over/under line is 50.5 points.
- Date: Monday, November 11th
- Time: 8:15 ET
- Location: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood
- TV: ESPN
Dolphins vs Rams
Miami heads into week 10 on a three-game losing streak, which includes a 30-27 road loss to the Bills in week 9. The Dolphins were 6-point underdogs in that game but managed to cover the spread despite the loss. The combined scoring of 57 points went over the 49-point line, marking the second straight game the over has hit in Miami’s games.
With a 2-6 record, the Dolphins are 22nd in our power rankings and have a 6.6% chance of making the playoffs. They rank 12th in the AFC and 3rd in the AFC East. Against the spread, Miami is 2-6, with an average scoring margin of -7.9 points per game.
After three straight wins, the Rams are now 4-4 and sit 2nd in the NFC West. Following a week 5 loss to the Packers, they bounced back with home wins over the Raiders (week 7) and Vikings (week 8) before defeating the Seahawks 26-20 on the road in week 9. They covered the spread in their last two games, including a 10-point win over Minnesota as 2.5-point underdogs.
Heading into week 10, our power rankings have the Rams 18th, and they have a 23.8% chance of making the playoffs. Their O/U record is 4-4, with their games averaging 45.5 points per game. The average line in their games has been 46.8.
Dolphins Injury Report
- Grayson Murphy – Knee (Out)
- Storm Duck – Ankle (Questionable)
- Julian Hill – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Patrick McMorris – Foot (Out)
- Tahj Washington – Undisclosed (Out)
- Grant DuBose – Shoulder (Out)
- Cameron Goode – Undisclosed (Out)
- Kader Kohou – Neck (Questionable)
- Kion Smith – Knee (Out)
- Anthony Schwartz – Knee (Out)
- Jevon Holland – Hand/knee (Questionable)
- Jaelan Phillips – Knee (Out)
- Tyler Huntley – Right Shoulder (Out)
- Cam Brown – Knee (Out)
- Blake Ferguson – Personal (Out)
- Alec Ingold – Calf (Questionable)
- Isaiah Wynn – Undisclosed (Out)
- River Cracraft – Upper Body (Questionable)
- Bradley Chubb – Knee (Out)
- Zach Sieler – Eye (Questionable)
- Braxton Berrios – Knee (Out)
Rams Injury Report
- KT Leveston – Ankle (Out)
- Jordan Whittington – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Josh Wallace – Leg (Questionable)
- Ethan Evans – Illness (Questionable)
- Tre Tomlinson – Undisclosed (Out)
- Derion Kendrick – Knee (Out)
- Steve Avila – Knee (Questionable)
- Neville Gallimore – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Jonah Jackson – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Troy Reeder – Hamstring (Out)
- Larrell Murchison – Foot (Out)
- Conor McDermott – Undisclosed (Out)
- Joe Noteboom – Ankle (Questionable)
- John Johnson III – Shoulder (Out)
- Tyler Higbee – Knee (Out)
- Rob Havenstein – Ankle (Questionable)
Dolphins Offense Breakdown
Heading into week 10, the Dolphins rank 26th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 15.5 points per game, which is 30th in the NFL. They are 20th in the league in total yards per game, with 324.9, and 24th in passing yards, averaging 191 per game on 31.6 attempts. On the ground, Miami ranks 8th in rushing attempts and 9th in rushing yards, with 133.9 per game. They are 12th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion rate, converting 39.4% of their attempts, and 4th in red zone conversion percentage.
Tua Tagovailoa had a strong performance in week 9, completing 25 of 28 passes for 231 yards and 2 touchdowns without an interception. Miami scored 14 points in the 4th quarter against Buffalo, with Tyreek Hill leading the team in receiving with 4 catches for 80 yards. De’Von Achane rushed for 63 yards on 12 carries, finding the end zone once.
Rams Offense Breakdown
Matthew Stafford has been busy in recent weeks, with 44 pass attempts in week 9, finishing with 298 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. In week 8, he threw for 279 yards and 4 touchdowns, posting a passer rating of 124. Before that, he had a 154-yard game in week 7. Cooper Kupp led the Rams in receiving in week 9, catching 11 passes for 104 yards, while Kyren Williams had 69 rushing yards on 22 carries.
Heading into week 10, the Rams rank 15th in our offensive power rankings. They are 20th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 21.2, and 18th in total yards per game with 328.9. Los Angeles ranks 9th in passing yards per game and 26th in rushing yards. They are converting 35.8% of their third downs, which ranks 21st in the league.
Dolphins Team Defense
In their 30-27 loss to the Bills, the Dolphins’ defense gave up three passing touchdowns and allowed Buffalo to convert on 50% of their third down attempts. The Dolphins’ defense did come up with one interception in the game. Buffalo finished with 231 passing yards against Miami and added 94 yards on the ground, averaging 4.9 yards per attempt. Miami’s defense managed just one sack in the game.
Miami’s defense allowed Buffalo to finish with 325 total yards in the game. The Dolphins also allowed the Bills to complete 64.1% of their passes. The Dolphins’ defense didn’t do a great job of getting off the field, as the Bills were able to convert on 50% of their third down attempts.
Rams Team Defense
In their most recent game, the Rams’ defense gave up 317 passing yards to the Seahawks, but they made key plays in the secondary, coming up with three interceptions. Despite giving up 424 total yards, the Rams held Seattle to a 26.7% conversion rate on third down. The Rams also put a lot of pressure on the quarterback, coming away with seven sacks and forcing three turnovers. Los Angeles won the game 26-20 in overtime, with Seattle averaging 9.3 yards per passing attempt.
The Rams’ defense also limited the Seahawks to 107 rushing yards on 33 attempts, giving them a yards per attempt of just 3.2. Although they allowed three passing touchdowns, the Rams’ ability to make big plays and pressure the quarterback was crucial in their victory.
Dolphins vs Rams Trends
- In their last three road games, Miami has averaged 17 points per game while allowing 18. The team’s record in this stretch was 1-2 while going 2-1.
- Through their last ten home contests, the Rams offense has averaged 21 points per game while allowing an average of 25. Los Angeles posted an overall record of 4-6 while going 5-5 ATS.
- Going back to their last three games as the underdog, the Dolphins have a straight up record of 0-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-2.
- Through their previous three contests as the betting favorite, the Rams have a strong record of 3-0. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is 1-2.
Dolphins vs Rams Prediction
Our model has the Dolphins pulling off the upset over the Rams in this week 10 matchup, with a projected final score of 27-22 in favor of Miami. With the point spread sitting at +2.5 in favor of the Dolphins, we like them to not only win but cover as road underdogs.
For this game, we also have a pick on the over/under, with a lean towards the under. The current line is 50.5 points, and our projections have this game finishing with 49 combined points.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:November 6, 2024 Los Angeles Rams, Miami Dolphins