The Los Angeles Rams will face off against the New England Patriots at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 17th. This matchup is being played at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough.
On Sunday, November 17th at 1:00 ET, the Patriots will host the Rams at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA. The Patriots are the underdog in this one, with the Rams favored on the road. The game will be televised on FOX, with the Patriots at +4.5 on the point spread and their money line sitting at +175. The Rams’ money line odds are -213, and the over/under line is 43.5 points.
- Date: Sunday, November 17th
- Time: 1:00 ET
- Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough
- TV: FOX
Rams vs Patriots
After two straight wins, the Rams couldn’t keep it going in week 10, falling 23-15 at home to the Dolphins. Los Angeles was a 2-point favorite in this one, but the loss dropped them to 4-5 on the season. They are now 3rd in the NFC West with a 2-1 division record. Our projections give the Rams an 18.4% chance of making the playoffs and an 11.5% chance of winning the division.
Heading into week 11, the Rams are 18th in our NFL power rankings. Their average scoring margin is -3.6 points per game, and they are 3-6 against the spread. Their O/U record is 4-5, with the under hitting in their last two games.
Heading into week 11, the Patriots sit 30th in our power rankings and have just a 1% chance of making the playoffs. New England is 3-7 this season, including a 1-3 record at home and a 2-4 mark on the road. In division games, they are 1-2 and currently rank 4th in the AFC East. After being underdogs in all of their games so far, the Patriots have an average scoring margin of -6 points and are 4-5-1 against the spread. They have covered in three straight games, including their week 10 win over the Bears.
New England’s O/U record stands at 5-5, with the under hitting in their last two games. Their games have averaged 38 points this season, while the average over/under line has been 39.6. In week 10, the Patriots and Bears combined for 22 points, with the line set at 37.5.
Rams Injury Report
- Cody Schrader – Gameday Inactive (Out)
- KT Leveston – Ankle (Out)
- Dylan McMahon – Gameday Inactive (Out)
- Derion Kendrick – Knee (Out)
- Stetson Bennett – Gameday Inactive (Out)
- Tre Tomlinson – Undisclosed (Out)
- Desjuan Johnson – Gameday Inactive (Out)
- Charles Woods – Ankle (Questionable)
- Kevin Dotson – Ankle (Probable)
- Christian Rozeboom – Neck (Probable)
- Neville Gallimore – Shoulder (Out)
- Troy Reeder – Hamstring (Out)
- Larrell Murchison – Foot (Out)
- Kam Curl – Knee (Probable)
- Conor McDermott – Undisclosed (Out)
- John Johnson III – Shoulder (Out)
- Tyler Higbee – Knee (Out)
- Rob Havenstein – Ankle (Out)
Patriots Injury Report
- Jaquelin Roy – Neck (Questionable)
- Jake Andrews – Undisclosed (Out)
- Alex Austin – Ankle (Questionable)
- Caedan Wallace – Ankle (Out)
- Marcellas Dial Jr. – Head (Questionable)
- JaQuae Jackson – Knee (Out)
- Christian Barmore – Blood Clot (Out)
- Christian Elliss – Abdomen (Questionable)
- Cole Strange – Undisclosed (Out)
- Kyle Dugger – Ankle (Questionable)
- Chukwuma Okorafor – Commissioner Exempt List (Out)
- Ja’Whaun Bentley – Pectoral (Out)
- Oshane Ximines – Knee (Out)
- Sione Takitaki – Hamstring (Questionable)
- David Andrews – Shoulder (Out)
- Yannick Ngakoue – Not Injury Related (Questionable)
- Jabrill Peppers – Commissioner Exempt List (Out)
Rams Offense Breakdown
Heading into week 11, the Rams sit 16th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 20.6 points per game and 328.7 yards per game, both ranking 17th in the NFL. They’ve relied heavily on the pass, with 35.9 attempts per game (5th) and 234.6 passing yards per game (8th). However, they rank 24th in 3rd-down conversions, with a 34.6% success rate, and have struggled early in games, ranking 29th in 1st-quarter scoring.
Matthew Stafford threw for 293 yards on 32/46 passing in week 10, but he didn’t find the end zone and was sacked 4 times. Puka Nacua led the team with 9 catches for 98 yards, while Kyren Williams rushed for 62 yards on 15 carries. The Rams failed to score in the 3rd quarter and went 0/3 in the red zone against Miami.
Patriots Offense Breakdown
Heading into week 11, the Patriots rank 28th in our offensive power rankings. They are 32nd in the NFL in both passing yards per game (156.8) and total yards per game (271.1). New England is 28th in the league in points per game, averaging 16. On 3rd down, they rank 24th, converting 34.6% of their attempts, but they are 9th in red zone conversion percentage.
Drake Maye threw for 184 yards (15/25) and a touchdown in week 10 against the Bears. Rhamondre Stevenson had 74 rushing yards on 20 carries, while Austin Hooper led the team with 64 receiving yards. The Patriots scored 16 points in the win, with 10 coming in the 2nd quarter.
Rams Team Defense
The Rams’ defense gave up just 171 passing yards to the Dolphins in their most recent game, but they still came out on the losing end by a score of 23-15. Miami’s passing game averaged 6.1 yards per attempt and completed 71.4% of their passes. The Rams’ run defense was also solid, allowing just 67 yards on 22 attempts (3.0 yards per attempt).
Despite the loss, the Rams’ defense managed to come up with three sacks and one interception. Additionally, they held the Dolphins to a 46.2% conversion rate on third down.
Patriots Team Defense
In their 19-3 win over the Bears, the Patriots’ defense was dominant, allowing just 142 total yards and coming away with nine sacks. Chicago managed only 69 passing yards, averaging just 2.3 yards per attempt. New England also limited the Bears to a 7.1% conversion rate on third down and held them to 73 yards rushing on 20 attempts.
The Patriots’ pass rush was relentless, winning the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials in a game where they allowed just 16 completions and no touchdowns through the air.
Rams vs Patriots Trends
- In their last five games away from home, the Rams have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 2-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 19 points per game in this stretch.
- Through their last five home games, New England has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 1-4 while averaging 13 points per game.
- As the betting underdog, the Patriots have an ATS record of 3-0 in their last three games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 2-1.
- Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Los Angeles has an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 8-2 straight up.
Rams vs Patriots Prediction
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Patriots to cover, as they are currently sitting at +4.5 point home underdogs in this week 11 matchup against the Rams. We have the Patriots not only covering but winning by a score of 30-21.
For the over/under, with the line sitting at 43.5 points, we like the over, projecting these teams to combine for 51 points.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:November 12, 2024 Los Angeles Rams, New England Patriots