Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs NFL Betting Prediction

NFL Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction 9/5/2024

The Baltimore Ravens will face off against the Kansas City Chiefs at 8:20 ET on Thursday, September 5th. This matchup is being played at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City.

The over/under line is set at 46.5 points as the Ravens and Chiefs kick off their season on Thursday, September 5th at 8:20 ET. The Chiefs are favored on the money line at -152 and are -3 point favorites on the point spreads. This week one AFC matchup is being televised on NBC.

  • Date: Thursday, September 5th
  • Time: 8:20 ET
  • Location: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City
  • TV: NBC

Ravens vs Chiefs

baltimore ravens nfl

The Ravens’ 13-4 record was good enough for 1st in the AFC North and 1st in the AFC overall. They excelled in non-conference games, going 5-0, and against above .500 teams, they were 11-5. Their playoff run ended in the AFC Conference Championship with a 17-10 loss to the Chiefs. Baltimore went 3-3 against their division rivals.

On the road, the Ravens were impressive with a 7-1 record, while they were 7-4 at home. As favorites, they went 12-4, and as underdogs, they went 2-1. Against the spread, they held a 12-7 record, going 10-6 as favorites and 2-1 as underdogs. The over/under record in Ravens’ games was 8-10-1, with an average combined scoring of 43.9 points per game.

The Ravens are coming off a season in which they finished 13-4 and advanced to the AFC Conference Championship before falling to the Chiefs (17-10). Baltimore was tough on the road, going 7-1, and they were also strong as the favorite, going 12-4. In the regular season, the Ravens were excellent in non-conference games, going 5-0. They also finished the season at the top of the AFC-North, with a 3-3 division record.

Against the spread, the Ravens were 12-7, including a 10-6 record as the favorite and 2-1 as the underdog. Their games averaged 43.9 points per game, with an over/under record of 8-10-1. Their record vs. the spread was 12-7.

Ravens Injury Report

  • Adisa Isaac – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Malik Hamm – Knee (Out)
  • Keaton Mitchell – Knee (Out)
  • Christian Matthew – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Arthur Maulet – Knee (Out)
  • Isaiah Washington – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Deion Jennings – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Trayvon Mullen – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Owen Wright – Foot (Out)
  • Rasheen Ali – Neck (Questionable)

Chiefs Injury Report

  • Marquise Brown – Shoulder (Out)
  • James Winchester – Shoulder (Probable)
  • Chris Jones – Shoulder (Probable)
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire – Illness (Out)
  • Joshua Williams – Hamstring (Probable)
  • Nazeeh Johnson – Hamstring (Probable)
  • Wanya Morris – Knee (Probable)
  • Derrick Nnadi – Triceps (Probable)
  • Nick Bolton – Elbow (Probable)
  • Joe Thuney – Pectoral (Probable)
  • BJ Thompson – Chest (Out)
  • Charles Omenihu – Knee (Out)

Ravens Offense Breakdown

With 156.4 rushing yards per game, the Ravens led the NFL in rushing last season, averaging 31.5 attempts per game. They were also one of the top-scoring offenses in the league, averaging 27.7 points per game, ranking 4th. Baltimore’s offense was 8th in the league in terms of power rankings, and they excelled in the running game, finishing 3rd in rushing yards per attempt.

In the passing game, the Ravens were 3rd in passing yards per attempt, but due to their run-heavy approach, they were 29th in passing attempts per game. This led to a 21st-place finish in passing yards, averaging 211.2 yards per game. Additionally, the Ravens had the 2nd highest number of red zone attempts but struggled to convert, ranking 31st in red zone conversion percentage.

Lamar Jackson was 15th in passing attempts last season, throwing for 3,678 yards, which also placed him 15th in passing yards. Heading into his 7th season, Jackson recorded a passer rating of 102.7 and threw 24 touchdowns, ranking 10th among quarterbacks. He also threw 7 interceptions.

Jackson had the 3rd most rushing touchdowns among quarterbacks last season, with five, and his 821 rushing yards was the 2nd best figure at the position. Additionally, he had the most fantasy points among quarterbacks in three different weeks.

Chiefs Offense Breakdown

kansas city chiefs

Despite being 29th in passing attempts per game, the Ravens were 3rd in passing yards per attempt last season. They were the top rushing team in the NFL, averaging 156.4 yards per game on the ground. Overall, they finished 8th in offensive power ranking, averaging 27.7 points per game, which was 4th in the league. They were also 8th in third-down conversion percentage, moving the chains on 42% of their third downs.

At home, the Ravens averaged 30.1 points per game, while on the road, they averaged 24.5 points per game, ranking 4th in both cases. In the passing game, they averaged 211.2 yards per game, ranking 21st in the league. Additionally, the Ravens had the 2nd highest percentage of first downs coming from rushing plays, at 77.05%.

Patrick Mahomes threw 14 interceptions last season while playing in 16 games. He was 3rd in both passing attempts and completions per game, averaging 37 attempts and 25 completions per game. Mahomes’ 4,183 passing yards ranked him 6th in the league, and he threw for an average of 261 yards per game.

For the season, Mahomes completed 67.2% of his passes and finished with 27 touchdowns, placing him 7th at his position. His passer rating was 92.66 and he closed out the season with at least one touchdown pass in his final seven games.

Ravens Team Defense

Allowing just 16.2 points per game, the Ravens’ defense was the best in the NFL last season. They also led the league in both takeaways (31) and turnover differential. Their secondary was particularly strong, giving up just 5.1 yards per passing attempt, which was the best in the league, and allowing a passer rating of only 71.64.

Against the run, the Ravens gave up the fewest rushing touchdowns and ranked 10th in rushing yards per attempt. In terms of generating pressure, they led the league in sacks and were 6th in quarterback hits. Overall, they were 4th in yards allowed, giving up just 297.6 yards per game.

Chiefs Team Defense

Allowing just 16.2 points per game, the Ravens’ defense was the best in the NFL last season. They also led the league in both takeaways (31) and turnover differential. Baltimore’s defense excelled in getting to the quarterback, leading the NFL in sacks, and allowing the fewest rushing touchdowns.

Overall, the Ravens allowed just 297.6 yards per game, ranking 4th in the league. They also excelled in defending the pass, allowing just 5.1 yards per attempt, which was the best in the league, and holding quarterbacks to a collective passer rating of 71.64.

Ravens vs Chiefs Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Baltimore has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 25 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
  • Kansas City has played well in their previous three home games, going 3-0 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 19 points per game while allowing 15. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-0.
  • As the betting underdog, the Ravens have an ATS record of 2-1 in their last three games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 2-1.
  • Against the spread, the Chiefs have put together of 2-2-1 in their last five games as the betting favorite. In these same games, they went 3-2 straight up.

Ravens vs Chiefs Prediction

Our pick against the spread is to take the Chiefs to cover as home favorites in this week one matchup vs. the Ravens. Right now, the point spread lines have the Ravens at +3, and with our projected final score being 22-18 in favor of the Chiefs, we are going with the Chiefs to cover.

For this week one matchup, we also have a pick for the over/under. With the line sitting at 46.5 points, we are leaning towards taking the under, with our projections pointing to a combined score of 40 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.