Calgary Flames vs Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Flames vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction 2/27/2025

The Calgary Flames (28-21-8) travel to face off against the Tampa Bay Lightning (33-20-4) on Thursday, February 27th. This game will be played at Amalie Arena in Tampa and televised on ESPN+. Both the Flames and Lightning will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 ET.

Flames vs Lightning

calgary flames nhl

The Calgary Flames Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Calgary’s 4-2 loss to the Oilers dropped their record to 28-21-8. The Flames trailed early, giving up a goal just 20 seconds into the first period and another at the 11:48 mark. They managed to tie the game, but Edmonton scored twice in the third period to secure the win.

The total for the game was set at 6.5 goals, and the combined 6 goals fell just short. Calgary, as the underdog on the puck line, failed to cover. Both of the Flames’ goals came after the first period, with Anthony Mantha and Yegor Sharangovich each finding the net.

The Tampa Bay Lightning Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Tampa Bay’s 7-4 loss to the Jets dropped their record to 33-20-4. The Lightning held a 2-0 lead in the first period, but the defense faltered, allowing four unanswered goals. Tampa Bay entered the game as underdogs on the puck line, and the total of 11 goals easily surpassed the pre-game line of 6.5.

Four different Lightning players found the net, with Nikita Kucherov scoring the last goal at 13:09 in the third period to tie it at 4-4. However, the Jets responded with three more goals, two of which came with an empty net.

Calgary Offense Breakdown

Calgary’s offense managed just two goals in their 4-2 loss to Edmonton. Anthony Mantha netted his fourth goal of the season on a power play in the second period, while Yegor Sharangovich added his first goal of the year in the third.

The Flames fired 31 shots on goal but were hindered by 22 giveaways. They were held scoreless in the first period before Mantha’s goal at 15:27 in the second and Sharangovich’s at 15:32 in the third.

Lightning Offense Breakdown

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Brandon Hagel opened the scoring for the Lightning with his 7th goal of the season, while Brayden Point added his 8th on a power play in the first period. Mitchell Chaffee netted his 4th goal, and Nikita Kucherov rounded out the scoring with his 10th in the third period.

The Lightning fired 30 shots on goal and recorded 8 giveaways. They were held to just 4 goals in a 7-4 loss to the Jets.

Calgary Team Defense

Calgary’s defense will look to bounce back after giving up 4 goals to the Oilers, including the game-winner at the 9:50 mark of the 3rd period and an empty-netter with just 3 seconds left. The Flames also allowed the first two goals of the game. Dan Vladar made 27 saves with a 90% save percentage, while the defense recorded 4 takeaways and 13 hits.

Tampa Bay Team Defense

Tampa Bay’s defense struggled late, giving up three goals in the 3rd period, including two empty-netters. The Jets also scored twice in the 2nd, erasing a 2-0 Lightning lead. Goalie Jonas Johansson made 27 saves with an 84.4% save percentage.

Flames vs Lightning Trends

  • Calgary has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 2 goals per game while allowing 2. The team also performed well vs the puck line at 2-1.
  • Tampa Bay has played well in their previous three home games, going 3-0 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 4 goals per game while allowing 1. The team also performed well vs the puck line at 3-0.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Lightning have a straight up record of 3-7. Their record vs the puck line in these games was 6-4.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Flames have gone 4-6 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 7-3.

Flames vs Lightning Prediction

To those searching for a pure moneyline wager, the Lightning is the clear pick. Still, with a payout of -219, it’s worth thinking about including this bet in a parlay.

If you’re looking for a puck line bet, I’d suggest going with the Flames to cover. Even in the event of a Lightning victory, this game is expected to be closely fought, and the Flames should cover the puck line.

With an over/under line sitting at 6 goals, we like this game to surpass that mark and recommend getting a bet down on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.